← Air events

Wildfire smoke EPA monitor flag

Wildfire-smoke episode, 2018-08-14

August 14, 2018

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 95.9 µg/m³ near Seattle across 1 covered metro home to 4.1 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 4.0 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 16 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad cause for this time-bounded episode.

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Aug 14, 2018 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 215 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-08-14, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

Spokane Regional Clean Air Agency · Aug 1, 2018 official

Air Quality Report: August 2018

The agency reports widespread heavy smoke across Washington in August 2018 from wildfires in British Columbia, Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, and California.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 215 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-08-14, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The 72-hour air-mass history is reconstructed

    NOAA HYSPLIT modeled 12 backward paths across multiple arrival times and heights. They show where the air traveled, not which source polluted it.

    Explore the modeled paths ↓
    Modeled
  3. 3

    Local response

    95.9 µg/m³ near Seattle

    The state described widespread 2018 wildfire-smoke impacts as the season intensified, corroborating the regional smoke episode.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

Monitor comparison window 2018-08-11 to 2018-08-17 · PM2.5 target: DARRINGTON - FIR ST (Darrington High School)

5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 57.8 µg/m³

207% above nearby days

Air movement 2.89 kt

5% lower than surrounding days

Carbon monoxide 0.475 ppm

70% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 57.8 µg/m³

207% higher than surrounding days

Before3.15 µg/m³ Event57.8 µg/m³ After18.8 µg/m³
9 monitors · 1 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.475 ppm

70% higher than surrounding days

Before0.279 ppm Event0.475 ppm After0.220 ppm
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 25.3 ppb

77% higher than surrounding days

Before8.89 ppb Event25.3 ppb After16.2 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.955 ppb

46% higher than surrounding days

Before0.429 ppb Event0.955 ppb After0.653 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.037 ppm

105% higher than surrounding days

Before0.016 ppm Event0.037 ppm After0.026 ppm
5 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 72.7 %

6% lower than surrounding days

Pressure 999 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 70.3 °F

7% higher than surrounding days

Wind 2.89 kt

5% lower than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Air-mass reconstruction

Where the air had been

NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.

Transport context · not source attribution

Air arriving near Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue

Peak-date arrivals · 2018-08-14

Broad history Mostly north of the metro
72-hour reach 600–1,150 km
Sensitivity runs 12 modeled paths
Arrival metro
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m

Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 95.9 µg/m³ 4.4 Aug 14, 2018 #13 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 1

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Aug 14, 2018 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 215 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-08-14, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

NOAA Storm Events (NWS record) 7

Agency and publisher pages 2

  • Air Quality Report: August 2018

    Spokane Regional Clean Air Agency · Aug 1, 2018 official government

    The agency reports widespread heavy smoke across Washington in August 2018 from wildfires in British Columbia, Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, and California.

  • Wildfire smoke triggers report to EPA

    Washington State Department of Ecology · Aug 13, 2018 corroborates government

    The state described widespread 2018 wildfire-smoke impacts as the season intensified, corroborating the regional smoke episode.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.