Wildfire Smoke episode, 2017-09-05 through 2017-09-06
September 5, 2017 to September 6, 2017
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 70.3 µg/m³ near Seattle across
2 covered metros home to 6.7 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 3.8 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 26 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad cause for this time-bounded episode.
Agency determinationA government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 5, 2017official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 21 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 5, 2017official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 168 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 6, 2017official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-06, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 21 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…
Contemporaneous reporting described smoke and ash from central Washington wildfires over Seattle and a satellite image showing smoke across Washington, Oregon, and Idaho.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Monitor comparison window 2017-09-02 to 2017-09-09 · PM2.5 target: Gresham - Gresham Learning Center (GLC)
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse67.3 µg/m³
432% above nearby days
Air movement187 Degrees Compass
16% lower than surrounding days
Carbon monoxide0.588 ppm
87% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.567.3 µg/m³
432% higher than surrounding days
Before11.7 µg/m³ Event67.3 µg/m³ After7.88 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.588 ppm
87% higher than surrounding days
Before0.331 ppm Event0.588 ppm After0.194 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide17.4 ppb
22% higher than surrounding days
Before15.1 ppb Event17.4 ppb After9.08 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.767 ppb
18% lower than surrounding days
Before1.07 ppb Event0.767 ppb After—
Ozone0.026 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.034 ppm Event0.026 ppm After0.024 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity59.2 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure1004 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature75.4 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind187 Degrees Compass
16% lower than surrounding days
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Monitor comparison window 2017-09-02 to 2017-09-09 · PM2.5 target: NORTH BEND - NORTH BEND WAY
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse30.4 µg/m³
198% above nearby days
Air movement2.42 kt
13% lower than surrounding days
Carbon monoxide0.576 ppm
50% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.530.4 µg/m³
198% higher than surrounding days
Before5.59 µg/m³ Event30.4 µg/m³ After11.6 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.576 ppm
50% higher than surrounding days
Before0.320 ppm Event0.576 ppm After0.431 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide29 ppb
45% higher than surrounding days
Before16.9 ppb Event29 ppb After20.5 ppb
Sulfur dioxide1.40 ppb
111% higher than surrounding days
Before0.601 ppb Event1.40 ppb After0.558 ppb
Ozone0.016 ppm
25% lower than surrounding days
Before0.026 ppm Event0.016 ppm After0.020 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity64 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure1000 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature72.5 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind2.42 kt
13% lower than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Air-mass reconstruction
Where the air had been
NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple
arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to
assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.
Transport context · not source attribution
Air arriving near Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro
Peak-date arrivals · 2017-09-05
Broad historyMostly south of the metro
72-hour reach150–750 km
Sensitivity runs12 modeled paths
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents
arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions.
A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Air arriving near Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue
Peak-date arrivals · 2017-09-06
Broad historyMostly southeast of the metro
72-hour reach350–700 km
Sensitivity runs12 modeled paths
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents
arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions.
A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 5, 2017officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 21 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 5, 2017officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 168 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 6, 2017officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-06, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 6, 2017officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 144 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-06, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive · Washington State Department · Sep 6, 2017officialgovernment
An archived NWS Air Quality Alert for Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA, issued 2017-09-06T16:56Z, explicitly identifies wildfire smoke. IEM is the archive, not the official system of record.
Portland Fire & Rescue · Sep 5, 2017corroboratesgovernment
Portland Fire & Rescue reported deployment to the Eagle Creek wildfire on September 5 and directed residents to wildfire-smoke health guidance, corroborating that the Portland portion of the event coincided with the active regional wildfire-smoke episode.
Seattle Post-Intelligencer · Daniel DeMay · Sep 5, 2017corroborates
Contemporaneous reporting described smoke and ash from central Washington wildfires over Seattle and a satellite image showing smoke across Washington, Oregon, and Idaho.
What remains uncertain
AQS qualifiers are submitting-agency causal flags and do not by themselves establish EPA concurrence.
The evidence resolves the broad cause but does not require a named fire, facility, or incident.
Status and provenance
Agency determinationA government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.