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Wildfire smoke Agency determination

Wildfire Smoke episode, 2017-09-05 through 2017-09-06

September 5, 2017 to September 6, 2017

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 70.3 µg/m³ near Seattle across 2 covered metros home to 6.7 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 3.8 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 26 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad cause for this time-bounded episode.

Agency determination A government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 5, 2017 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 21 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 5, 2017 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 168 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 6, 2017 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-06, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Sequence: Portland (Sep 5) → Seattle (Sep 6)

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 21 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    Transport into the affected region is documented

    Contemporaneous reporting described smoke and ash from central Washington wildfires over Seattle and a satellite image showing smoke across Washington, Oregon, and Idaho.

    View transport source ↗
    Documented
  3. 3

    Local response

    70.3 µg/m³ near Seattle

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 2 metros. The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.2 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

Monitor comparison window 2017-09-02 to 2017-09-09 · PM2.5 target: Gresham - Gresham Learning Center (GLC)

5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 67.3 µg/m³

432% above nearby days

Air movement 187 Degrees Compass

16% lower than surrounding days

Carbon monoxide 0.588 ppm

87% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 67.3 µg/m³

432% higher than surrounding days

Before11.7 µg/m³ Event67.3 µg/m³ After7.88 µg/m³
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.588 ppm

87% higher than surrounding days

Before0.331 ppm Event0.588 ppm After0.194 ppm
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 17.4 ppb

22% higher than surrounding days

Before15.1 ppb Event17.4 ppb After9.08 ppb
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.767 ppb

18% lower than surrounding days

Before1.07 ppb Event0.767 ppb After
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.026 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.034 ppm Event0.026 ppm After0.024 ppm
6 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 59.2 %

About the same as surrounding days

Pressure 1004 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 75.4 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 187 Degrees Compass

16% lower than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Air-mass reconstruction

Where the air had been

NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.

Transport context · not source attribution

Air arriving near Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro

Peak-date arrivals · 2017-09-05

Broad history Mostly south of the metro
72-hour reach 150–750 km
Sensitivity runs 12 modeled paths
Arrival metro
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m

Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 70.3 µg/m³ 3.2 Sep 6, 2017 #19 of its top days
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA 70 µg/m³ 6.1 Sep 5, 2017 #13 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 4

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 5, 2017 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 21 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 5, 2017 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 168 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-05, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 6, 2017 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-06, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 6, 2017 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 144 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2017-09-06, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

NWS Air Quality Alert 1

  • Air Quality Alert AQASEW

    National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive · Washington State Department · Sep 6, 2017 official government

    An archived NWS Air Quality Alert for Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA, issued 2017-09-06T16:56Z, explicitly identifies wildfire smoke. IEM is the archive, not the official system of record.

NOAA Storm Events (NWS record) 5

Agency and publisher pages 2

  • Portland Fire & Rescue Joins Mutual Aid Task Force

    Portland Fire & Rescue · Sep 5, 2017 corroborates government

    Portland Fire & Rescue reported deployment to the Eagle Creek wildfire on September 5 and directed residents to wildfire-smoke health guidance, corroborating that the Portland portion of the event coincided with the active regional wildfire-smoke episode.

  • Central WA wildfires shroud Seattle in ash, smoke

    Seattle Post-Intelligencer · Daniel DeMay · Sep 5, 2017 corroborates

    Contemporaneous reporting described smoke and ash from central Washington wildfires over Seattle and a satellite image showing smoke across Washington, Oregon, and Idaho.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Agency determination A government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.