Daily PM2.5 peaked at 43 µg/m³ near Des Moines across
2 covered metros home to 1.8 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 1.5 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 2.7 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad cause for this time-bounded episode.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · May 7, 2016official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 19 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2016-05-07, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 19 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2016-05-07, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official…
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Monitor comparison window 2016-05-04 to 2016-05-10 · PM2.5 target: CARPENTER
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse43 µg/m³
466% above nearby days
Air movement1.99 kt
29% lower than surrounding days
Carbon monoxide0.357 ppm
59% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.543 µg/m³
466% higher than surrounding days
Before5.30 µg/m³ Event43 µg/m³ After10.8 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.357 ppm
59% higher than surrounding days
Before0.189 ppm Event0.357 ppm After0.224 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide10.3 ppb
50% higher than surrounding days
Before6.95 ppb Event10.3 ppb After4.96 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.191 ppb
159% higher than surrounding days
Before0.074 ppb Event0.191 ppb After0.009 ppb
Ozone0.038 ppm
6% lower than surrounding days
Before0.042 ppm Event0.038 ppm After0.035 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity39.2 %
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature66.2 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind1.99 kt
29% lower than surrounding days
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Monitor comparison window 2016-05-04 to 2016-05-10 · PM2.5 target: 4102 Woolworth Ave. on Healthcenter Warehouse
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse41.6 µg/m³
705% above nearby days
Air movement3.60 kt
About the same as surrounding days
PM1075 µg/m³
114% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.541.6 µg/m³
705% higher than surrounding days
Before5.15 µg/m³ Event41.6 µg/m³ After5.17 µg/m³
PM1075 µg/m³
114% higher than surrounding days
Before35 µg/m³ Event75 µg/m³ After13 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.283 ppm
37% higher than surrounding days
Before0.197 ppm Event0.283 ppm After0.206 ppm
Sulfur dioxide0.217 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.275 ppb Event0.217 ppb After0.135 ppb
Ozone0.039 ppm
8% lower than surrounding days
Before0.043 ppm Event0.039 ppm After0.045 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity41.9 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure969 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature66.5 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind3.60 kt
About the same as surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Air-mass reconstruction
Where the air had been
NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple
arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to
assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.
Transport context · not source attribution
Air arriving near Des Moines-West Des Moines
Peak-date arrivals · 2016-05-07
Broad historyMostly northwest of the metro
72-hour reach300–2,850 km
Sensitivity runs12 modeled paths
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents
arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions.
A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Air arriving near Omaha-Council Bluffs
Peak-date arrivals · 2016-05-07
Broad historyMostly west of the metro
72-hour reach150–1,050 km
Sensitivity runs12 modeled paths
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents
arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions.
A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · May 7, 2016officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 19 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2016-05-07, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
What remains uncertain
AQS qualifiers are submitting-agency causal flags and do not by themselves establish EPA concurrence.
The evidence resolves the broad cause but does not require a named fire, facility, or incident.
The retained AQS qualifier directly covers Omaha; the supplied evidence does not independently establish the Des Moines portion.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.