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Wildfire smoke EPA monitor flag

Wildfire-smoke episode, 2015-09-13

September 13, 2015

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 109.8 µg/m³ near Sacramento across 1 covered metro home to 2.5 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 4.6 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 11 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad cause for this time-bounded episode.

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 13, 2015 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 72 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2015-09-13, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 72 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2015-09-13, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    109.8 µg/m³ near Sacramento

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 5.0 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade, CA

Monitor comparison window 2015-09-10 to 2015-09-16 · PM2.5 target: Auburn-Atwood

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 24.2 µg/m³

267% above nearby days

Air movement 2.85 kt

7% lower than surrounding days

PM10 57.5 µg/m³

161% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 24.2 µg/m³

267% higher than surrounding days

Before7 µg/m³ Event24.2 µg/m³ After4.80 µg/m³
4 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 57.5 µg/m³

161% higher than surrounding days

Before22.5 µg/m³ Event57.5 µg/m³ After12.5 µg/m³
4 monitors · 24-HR BLK AVG
Carbon monoxide 0.322 ppm

72% higher than surrounding days

Before0.230 ppm Event0.322 ppm After0.145 ppm
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 5.17 ppb

9% lower than surrounding days

Before11.2 ppb Event5.17 ppb After3.34 ppb
7 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 2.80 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before2.70 ppb Event2.80 ppb After3.04 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.047 ppm

45% higher than surrounding days

Before0.035 ppm Event0.047 ppm After0.030 ppm
12 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 44.8 %

About the same as surrounding days

Pressure 1005 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 78.3 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 2.85 kt

7% lower than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade, CA 109.8 µg/m³ 5.0 Sep 13, 2015 #14 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 1

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 13, 2015 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 72 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2015-09-13, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.