Wildfire-smoke episode, 2015-08-22 through 2015-08-23
August 22, 2015 to August 23, 2015
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 66.7 µg/m³ near Portland across
1 covered metro home to 2.5 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 5.0 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 13 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad cause for this time-bounded episode.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Aug 22, 2015official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 100 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2015-08-22, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Aug 23, 2015official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 124 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2015-08-23, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
The Forest Service reports that on August 22 east winds transported smoke from Central Washington and Oregon fires into the Portland metropolitan area, exposing residents to unhealthy air quality.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 100 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2015-08-22, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…
The Forest Service reports that on August 22 east winds transported smoke from Central Washington and Oregon fires into the Portland metropolitan area, exposing residents to unhealthy air quality.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Monitor comparison window 2015-08-19 to 2015-08-26 · PM2.5 target: Government Camp - Multorpor/Ski Bowl (MUL)
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse61.7 µg/m³
598% above nearby days
Air movement4.01 kt
About the same as surrounding days
PM1067 µg/m³
272% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.561.7 µg/m³
598% higher than surrounding days
Before6.75 µg/m³ Event61.7 µg/m³ After7.60 µg/m³
PM1067 µg/m³
272% higher than surrounding days
Before18 µg/m³ Event67 µg/m³ After12 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.535 ppm
88% higher than surrounding days
Before0.225 ppm Event0.535 ppm After0.255 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide12.1 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before10.4 ppb Event12.1 ppb After14.7 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.417 ppb
34% higher than surrounding days
Before0.142 ppb Event0.417 ppb After0.233 ppb
Ozone0.038 ppm
12% higher than surrounding days
Before0.029 ppm Event0.038 ppm After0.037 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity50.7 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure1006 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature69.5 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind4.01 kt
About the same as surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Aug 22, 2015officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 100 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2015-08-22, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Aug 23, 2015officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 124 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2015-08-23, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
The Forest Service reports that on August 22 east winds transported smoke from Central Washington and Oregon fires into the Portland metropolitan area, exposing residents to unhealthy air quality.
What remains uncertain
AQS qualifiers are submitting-agency causal flags and do not by themselves establish EPA concurrence.
The evidence resolves the broad cause but does not require a named fire, facility, or incident.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.