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Prescribed fire EPA monitor flag

Prescribed Fire Smoke episode, 2014-04-05

April 5, 2014

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 50.6 µg/m³ near Wichita across 1 covered metro home to 661,217 people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 1.9 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 1.3 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Prescribed fire”

Qualified frozen evidence supports prescribed fire smoke as the broad cause for this time-bounded episode.

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Apr 5, 2014 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier RM — Prescribed Fire.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RM, Prescribed Fire.) on 5 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-04-05, identifying prescribed-fire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Prescribed fire

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RM, Prescribed Fire.) on 5 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-04-05, identifying prescribed-fire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The 72-hour air-mass history is reconstructed

    NOAA HYSPLIT modeled 12 backward paths across multiple arrival times and heights. They show where the air traveled, not which source polluted it.

    Explore the modeled paths ↓
    Modeled
  3. 3

    Local response

    50.6 µg/m³ near Wichita

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.3 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Prescribed fire” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Wichita, KS

Monitor comparison window 2014-04-02 to 2014-04-08 · PM2.5 target: WICHITA HD

5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 48.9 µg/m³

201% above nearby days

PM10 49 µg/m³

172% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 48.9 µg/m³

201% higher than surrounding days

Before16.3 µg/m³ Event48.9 µg/m³ After3.20 µg/m³
4 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 49 µg/m³

172% higher than surrounding days

Before10 µg/m³ Event49 µg/m³ After18 µg/m³
3 monitors · 24-HR BLK AVG
Nitrogen dioxide 8.60 ppb

14% higher than surrounding days

Before6.01 ppb Event8.60 ppb After8.07 ppb
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 2.38 ppb

29% higher than surrounding days

Before1.84 ppb Event2.38 ppb After1.84 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.057 ppm

57% higher than surrounding days

Before0.026 ppm Event0.057 ppm After0.037 ppm
3 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Air-mass reconstruction

Where the air had been

NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.

Transport context · not source attribution

Air arriving near Wichita

Peak-date arrivals · 2014-04-05

Broad history Mostly northwest of the metro
72-hour reach 950–3,400 km
Sensitivity runs 12 modeled paths
Arrival metro
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m

Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Wichita, KS 50.6 µg/m³ 2.3 Apr 5, 2014 #5 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 1

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RM — Prescribed Fire.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Apr 5, 2014 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RM, Prescribed Fire.) on 5 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-04-05, identifying prescribed-fire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.