Daily PM2.5 peaked at 111 µg/m³ near Los Angeles across
3 covered metros home to 19 million people.
1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 4.1 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 75 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Fireworks”
Qualified frozen evidence supports fireworks as the broad cause for this time-bounded episode and supports grouping 2 overlapping event records.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2018official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 41 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 2, 2018official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 27 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-01-02, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 2, 2018official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IE, Demolition.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2018-01-02, identifying demolition as affecting the sample. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Sequence: Los Angeles (Jan 1) → Riverside (Jan 1) → Bakersfield (Jan 2)
Evidence path
From source to city
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 41 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag,…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
111 µg/m³ near Los Angeles
EPA monitors recorded the event across 3 metros.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 5.0 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Fireworks” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Monitor comparison window 2017-12-29 to 2018-01-05 · PM2.5 target: Long Beach-Route 710 Near Road
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse60.9 µg/m³
88% above nearby days
Air movement1.60 kt
About the same as surrounding days
PM1057.5 µg/m³
28% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.560.9 µg/m³
88% higher than surrounding days
Before30.6 µg/m³ Event60.9 µg/m³ After23.6 µg/m³
PM1057.5 µg/m³
28% higher than surrounding days
Before42 µg/m³ Event57.5 µg/m³ After43 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.938 ppm
8% higher than surrounding days
Before0.779 ppm Event0.938 ppm After0.858 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide30 ppb
12% lower than surrounding days
Before32.3 ppb Event30 ppb After35.8 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.713 ppb
14% lower than surrounding days
Before0.917 ppb Event0.713 ppb After0.908 ppb
Ozone0.017 ppm
32% higher than surrounding days
Before0.016 ppm Event0.017 ppm After0.011 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity69.3 %
13% higher than surrounding days
Pressure1009 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature59.3 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind1.60 kt
About the same as surrounding days
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Monitor comparison window 2017-12-29 to 2018-01-05 · PM2.5 target: Mira Loma (Van Buren)
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2018officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 41 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 2, 2018officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 27 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-01-02, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 2, 2018officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IE, Demolition.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2018-01-02, identifying demolition as affecting the sample. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2018officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 41 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 2, 2018officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 36 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2018-01-02, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
South Coast Air Quality Management District · Jan 1, 2021hypothesisgovernment
The district identifies January 1 fireworks as a possible source of select PM2.5 exceedances in the South Coast basin, but this document does not assess the January 1–2, 2018 event specifically.
What remains uncertain
AQS qualifiers are submitting-agency causal flags and do not by themselves establish EPA concurrence.
The evidence resolves the broad cause but does not require a named fire, facility, or incident.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.