Daily PM2.5 peaked at 62.3 µg/m³ near Chicago across
2 covered metros home to 11 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 2.2 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 23 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Fireworks”
Qualified frozen evidence supports fireworks as the broad cause and supports grouping 2 records into the same time-bounded occurrence.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 4, 2014official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RH, Fireworks.) on 12 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 4, 2014official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 4 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 4, 2014official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 4 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Sequence: Chicago (Jul 4) → Louisville/Jefferson County (Jul 4)
Evidence path
From source to city
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RH, Fireworks.) on 12 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
62.3 µg/m³ near Chicago
EPA monitors recorded the event across 2 metros.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.8 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Fireworks” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Monitor comparison window 2014-07-01 to 2014-07-07 · PM2.5 target: Gary- Burr St./ pumping station near truck stop
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse35.8 µg/m³
108% above nearby days
Air movement3.63 kt
31% lower than surrounding days
PM1045 µg/m³
15% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.535.8 µg/m³
108% higher than surrounding days
Before9.98 µg/m³ Event35.8 µg/m³ After18 µg/m³
PM1045 µg/m³
15% higher than surrounding days
Before20 µg/m³ Event45 µg/m³ After39 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.415 ppm
20% higher than surrounding days
Before0.295 ppm Event0.415 ppm After0.347 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide13 ppb
39% higher than surrounding days
Before7.85 ppb Event13 ppb After9.34 ppb
Sulfur dioxide1.31 ppb
62% higher than surrounding days
Before0.438 ppb Event1.31 ppb After0.983 ppb
Ozone0.027 ppm
13% lower than surrounding days
Before0.022 ppm Event0.027 ppm After0.039 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity53.3 °F
9% lower than surrounding days
Pressure1005 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature66 °F
5% lower than surrounding days
Wind3.63 kt
31% lower than surrounding days
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Monitor comparison window 2014-07-01 to 2014-07-07 · PM2.5 target: Southwick
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse29.9 µg/m³
68% above nearby days
Air movement2.87 kt
16% lower than surrounding days
PM1058 µg/m³
123% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.529.9 µg/m³
68% higher than surrounding days
Before15.4 µg/m³ Event29.9 µg/m³ After17.8 µg/m³
PM1058 µg/m³
123% higher than surrounding days
Before20 µg/m³ Event58 µg/m³ After26 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.260 ppm
14% lower than surrounding days
Before0.269 ppm Event0.260 ppm After0.315 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide7.05 ppb
47% lower than surrounding days
Before13.2 ppb Event7.05 ppb After14.1 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.688 ppb
77% lower than surrounding days
Before2.98 ppb Event0.688 ppb After3.99 ppb
Ozone0.028 ppm
18% lower than surrounding days
Before0.035 ppm Event0.028 ppm After0.037 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity56 %
9% lower than surrounding days
Pressure1008 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature69.9 °F
7% lower than surrounding days
Wind2.87 kt
16% lower than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 4, 2014officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RH, Fireworks.) on 12 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 4, 2014officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 4 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 4, 2014officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 4 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2014-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registryofficialgovernment
The government health consultation excludes July 4, 2014 data from site-source analysis because of the clear influence of fireworks on general Chicago air quality, distinguishing it from the investigated site-related emissions.
Louisville Public Media · Erica Peterson · Jul 4, 2017corroborates
Louisville Air Pollution Control District's spokesperson said the city exceeded particulate standards on July 4, 2014 and described multiple Independence Day fireworks displays and neighborhood fireworks as a cause of particulate spikes.
What remains uncertain
AQS qualifiers are submitting-agency causal flags and do not by themselves establish EPA concurrence.
The evidence resolves the broad cause but does not require a named fire, facility, or incident.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.