Wildfire smoke Likely
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 54 µg/m³ near Tulsa across 1 covered metro home to 1.1 million people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.0 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 2.1 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.
Why we think this happened
A contemporaneous Tulsa report directly attributes that morning's haze, smoke, and unhealthy local air quality to wildfires across Green Country whose smoke was being carried through the area by southerly winds.
Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.
KJRH 2 News Oklahoma · Mar 4, 2022 corroborates
KJRH reported hazy, smoky conditions and unhealthy air in the Tulsa metro on March 4, attributing them to Green Country wildfires and southerly winds carrying smoke through the area.
tulsaworld.com corroborates
Evidence path
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.
Source or mechanism
KJRH reported hazy, smoky conditions and unhealthy air in the Tulsa metro on March 4, attributing them to Green Country wildfires and southerly winds carrying smoke through the area.
View supporting source ↗Air-mass movement
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Local response
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.5 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓Event autopsy
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.
Tulsa, OK
Monitor comparison window 2022-03-01 to 2022-03-07 · PM2.5 target: TULSA CENTRAL
365% above nearby days
12% higher than surrounding days
97% higher than surrounding days
365% higher than surrounding days
97% higher than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
137% higher than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
12% higher than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Episode peak
-- cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
| Metro | Peak PM2.5 | Cigarettes, whole event | Peak day | All-time standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa, OK | 54 µg/m³ | 2.5 | Mar 4, 2022 | #3 of its top days |
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
KJRH 2 News Oklahoma
KJRH reported hazy, smoky conditions and unhealthy air in the Tulsa metro on March 4, attributing them to Green Country wildfires and southerly winds carrying smoke through the area.
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
The report does not identify one contributing fire or quantify the wildfire share of Tulsa's daily PM2.5.
Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.