2011-06-08 to 2011-06-09 Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ wildfire-smoke episode
June 8, 2011 to June 9, 2011
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 58.2 µg/m³ near Allentown across
1 covered metro home to 886,418 people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 4.4 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 3.9 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
NASA documented Wallow Fire emissions moving east across the United States and cited the contemporaneous AirNow warning for unhealthy air in the Eastern U.S. on June 8-9. This establishes a same-window wildfire-smoke episode but does not directly connect the Allentown monitor to one fire.
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
NASA showed Wallow Fire pollutants moving east across the United States and cited an AirNow notice for unhealthy air affecting the Eastern U.S. on June 8-9, the Allentown event window.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
The catalog has a grouping hypothesis, but no retained source directly establishes the proposed cause.
Open question
2
Air-mass movement
Transport into the affected region is documented
NASA showed Wallow Fire pollutants moving east across the United States and cited an AirNow notice for unhealthy air affecting the Eastern U.S. on June 8-9, the Allentown event window.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Monitor comparison window 2011-06-05 to 2011-06-12 · PM2.5 target: Freemansburg
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse27 µg/m³
114% above nearby days
PM1047.5 µg/m³
98% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.527 µg/m³
114% higher than surrounding days
Before11.8 µg/m³ Event27 µg/m³ After12.6 µg/m³
PM1047.5 µg/m³
98% higher than surrounding days
Before24 µg/m³ Event47.5 µg/m³ After13.5 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.142 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.154 ppm Event0.142 ppm After0.100 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide13.6 ppb
22% higher than surrounding days
Before11.1 ppb Event13.6 ppb After8.27 ppb
Sulfur dioxide2.75 ppb
26% lower than surrounding days
Before5.73 ppb Event2.75 ppb After2.03 ppb
Ozone0.042 ppm
22% higher than surrounding days
Before0.031 ppm Event0.042 ppm After0.028 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity73.4 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure994 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature76.8 °F
13% higher than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
1 retained source
Official record
Carbon Monoxide from Wallow Fire
NASA Earth Observatory
NASA showed Wallow Fire pollutants moving east across the United States and cited an AirNow notice for unhealthy air affecting the Eastern U.S. on June 8-9, the Allentown event window.
What it supports
This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.
Limit
The NASA imagery tracks carbon monoxide and regional smoke transport, not surface PM2.5 at the Allentown monitor.
What remains uncertain
The classification remains possible because the evidence is regional transport evidence rather than a local surface-source attribution.
Status and provenance
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.