← Air events

Wildfire smoke Likely

2011-06-03 to 2011-06-04 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL wildfire-smoke episode

June 3, 2011 to June 4, 2011

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 91.7 µg/m³ near Miami across 1 covered metro home to 6.5 million people. 1 metro recorded their worst day on record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 5.5 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 36 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

The same-day NWS Miami discussion attributes smoke across portions of the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach metro to a fire in northern Palm Beach County and says HYSPLIT captured the plume's southwest trajectory. The source and transport are explicit, although the discussion does not quantify the fire's share of the metro daily PM2.5 value.

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

National Weather Service Miami via Iowa Environmental Mesonet · Jun 3, 2011 corroborates

Area Forecast Discussion: northern Palm Beach County fire plume

NWS Miami continued smoke in Palm Beach, Hendry, and Collier counties because of a northern Palm Beach County fire, and reported that HYSPLIT represented the northeast-to-southwest plume trajectory well.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    NWS Miami continued smoke in Palm Beach, Hendry, and Collier counties because of a northern Palm Beach County fire, and reported that HYSPLIT represented the northeast-to-southwest plume trajectory well.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    91.7 µg/m³ near Miami

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 4.2 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

Monitor comparison window 2011-05-31 to 2011-06-07 · PM2.5 target: Belle Glade

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 36.5 µg/m³

145% above nearby days

Air movement 5.36 kt

About the same as surrounding days

PM10 21 µg/m³

9% lower than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 36.5 µg/m³

145% higher than surrounding days

Before10.7 µg/m³ Event36.5 µg/m³ After18.1 µg/m³
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
PM10 21 µg/m³

9% lower than surrounding days

Before23 µg/m³ Event21 µg/m³ After23 µg/m³
1 monitor · 24-HR BLK AVG
Carbon monoxide 0.005 ppm

67% lower than surrounding days

Before0.015 ppm Event0.005 ppm After0.025 ppm
4 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 1.02 ppb

7% higher than surrounding days

Before0.917 ppb Event1.02 ppb After0.917 ppb
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.125 ppb

25% lower than surrounding days

Before0.167 ppb Event0.125 ppb After0.167 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.018 ppm

35% lower than surrounding days

Before0.027 ppm Event0.018 ppm After0.039 ppm
7 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 72.4 %

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 5.36 kt

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 91.7 µg/m³ 6.3 Jun 3, 2011 Worst day on record

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

1 retained source

Official record

Area Forecast Discussion: northern Palm Beach County fire plume

National Weather Service Miami via Iowa Environmental Mesonet

NWS Miami continued smoke in Palm Beach, Hendry, and Collier counties because of a northern Palm Beach County fire, and reported that HYSPLIT represented the northeast-to-southwest plume trajectory well.

What it supports

A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The smoke statement covers portions of the Miami metro rather than every metro monitor.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.