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Wildfire smoke Officially verified

2006-05-26 Smoldering east-central Florida brush fires episode

May 26, 2006 · Origin: Smoldering east-central Florida brush fires

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 28 µg/m³ near Palm Bay across 1 covered metro home to 658,447 people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

An exact-date NWS discussion directly attributes Melbourne-area haze and reduced visibility to smoke from smoldering brush fires. Nearby surface observations independently show haze and reduced visibility. The broad wildfire-smoke cause is official; the responsible individual fire remains unresolved because contemporaneous reports conflict about the onset of a later large Brevard fire.

Officially verified A directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.

Local 6 News via Firehouse · May 29, 2006 hypothesis

Massive Brush Fire Closes Central Fla. Roads

Contemporaneous local reporting said lightning on Friday, May 26 sparked a Brevard-Orange brush fire that grew to about 1,000 acres and later closed roads in Melbourne and the surrounding corridor because of fire and smoke.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    NWS Melbourne reported areas of reduced flight conditions near Melbourne caused by haze and smoke from smoldering brush fires on the catalog date.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    28 µg/m³ near Palm Bay

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 1.3 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL

Monitor comparison window 2006-05-23 to 2006-05-29 · PM2.5 target: Melbourne

2 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 28 µg/m³

0% above nearby days

Air movement 4 kt median wind

4 calm hours observed

What observers saw 2 mi minimum visibility

Haze reported during 2 hours

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 28 µg/m³

About the same as surrounding days

Before36 µg/m³ Event28 µg/m³ After20 µg/m³
1 monitor · 24 HOUR
Ozone 0.030 ppm

21% lower than surrounding days

Before0.037 ppm Event0.030 ppm After0.038 ppm
2 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

MELBOURNE REGIONAL, 5.7 km from the PM2.5 target
Wind 4 kt median

14 kt maximum · 4 of 23 observed hours calm

Visibility 2 mi minimum

4 observed hours at or below 3 miles

Temperature 74°F median

67°F to 86°F

Humidity 81% median

97% maximum

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL 28 µg/m³ 1.3 May 26, 2006 #6 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

4 retained sources

Official record

Melbourne Regional Airport haze, mist, wind, and visibility observations

NOAA/NWS surface observations via Iowa Environmental Mesonet

Melbourne Regional Airport, 5.7 kilometers from the target PM2.5 monitor, reported haze twice and mist five times; visibility fell to two miles while median wind was four knots.

What it supports

This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.

Limit

The airport and regulatory PM2.5 monitor are nearby but not co-located.

Official record

Area Forecast Discussion: Melbourne haze and smoke from smoldering brush fires

National Weather Service Melbourne via Iowa Environmental Mesonet

NWS Melbourne reported areas of reduced flight conditions near Melbourne caused by haze and smoke from smoldering brush fires on the catalog date.

What it supports

An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The discussion establishes the broad wildfire-smoke cause near Melbourne but does not name an individual fire or apportion the daily PM2.5 mass.

News report

Brush fire closes parts of Florida's Interstate 95

Associated Press via the Houston Chronicle

The Associated Press documented the same broad Brevard smoke problem but reported that the roughly 1,000-acre fire began Sunday, conflicting with the Friday-start account.

What it supports

Context for the event; this item does not establish the attributed cause by itself.

Limit

This conflict concerns the identity and onset of the later named-size incident, not the NWS statement that smoke from smoldering brush fires affected Melbourne on May 26.

News report

Massive Brush Fire Closes Central Fla. Roads

Local 6 News via Firehouse

Contemporaneous local reporting said lightning on Friday, May 26 sparked a Brevard-Orange brush fire that grew to about 1,000 acres and later closed roads in Melbourne and the surrounding corridor because of fire and smoke.

What it supports

This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.

Limit

A contemporaneous Associated Press account instead says the large fire began Sunday, so this report cannot establish that the later 1,000-acre incident was the specific source of Friday's PM2.5 event.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Officially verified A directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.