May 26, 2006 · Origin: Smoldering east-central Florida brush fires
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 28 µg/m³ near Palm Bay across
1 covered metro home to 658,447 people.
1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
An exact-date NWS discussion directly attributes Melbourne-area haze and reduced visibility to smoke from smoldering brush fires. Nearby surface observations independently show haze and reduced visibility. The broad wildfire-smoke cause is official; the responsible individual fire remains unresolved because contemporaneous reports conflict about the onset of a later large Brevard fire.
Officially verifiedA directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.
National Weather Service Melbourne via Iowa Environmental Mesonet · May 26, 2006official
Contemporaneous local reporting said lightning on Friday, May 26 sparked a Brevard-Orange brush fire that grew to about 1,000 acres and later closed roads in Melbourne and the surrounding corridor because of fire and smoke.
NOAA/NWS surface observations via Iowa Environmental Mesonet · May 26, 2006hypothesis
Melbourne Regional Airport, 5.7 kilometers from the target PM2.5 monitor, reported haze twice and mist five times; visibility fell to two miles while median wind was four knots.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
28 µg/m³ near Palm Bay
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 1.3 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Monitor comparison window 2006-05-23 to 2006-05-29 · PM2.5 target: Melbourne
2 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse28 µg/m³
0% above nearby days
Air movement4 kt median wind
4 calm hours observed
What observers saw2 mi minimum visibility
Haze reported during 2 hours
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.528 µg/m³
About the same as surrounding days
Before36 µg/m³ Event28 µg/m³ After20 µg/m³
Ozone0.030 ppm
21% lower than surrounding days
Before0.037 ppm Event0.030 ppm After0.038 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
MELBOURNE REGIONAL, 5.7 km from the PM2.5 target
Wind4 kt median
14 kt maximum · 4 of 23 observed hours calm
Visibility2 mi minimum
4 observed hours at or below 3 miles
Temperature74°F median
67°F to 86°F
Humidity81% median
97% maximum
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
4 retained sources
Official record
Melbourne Regional Airport haze, mist, wind, and visibility observations
NOAA/NWS surface observations via Iowa Environmental Mesonet
Melbourne Regional Airport, 5.7 kilometers from the target PM2.5 monitor, reported haze twice and mist five times; visibility fell to two miles while median wind was four knots.
What it supports
This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.
Limit
The airport and regulatory PM2.5 monitor are nearby but not co-located.
Official record
Area Forecast Discussion: Melbourne haze and smoke from smoldering brush fires
National Weather Service Melbourne via Iowa Environmental Mesonet
NWS Melbourne reported areas of reduced flight conditions near Melbourne caused by haze and smoke from smoldering brush fires on the catalog date.
What it supports
An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
The discussion establishes the broad wildfire-smoke cause near Melbourne but does not name an individual fire or apportion the daily PM2.5 mass.
News report
Brush fire closes parts of Florida's Interstate 95
Associated Press via the Houston Chronicle
The Associated Press documented the same broad Brevard smoke problem but reported that the roughly 1,000-acre fire began Sunday, conflicting with the Friday-start account.
What it supports
Context for the event; this item does not establish the attributed cause by itself.
Limit
This conflict concerns the identity and onset of the later named-size incident, not the NWS statement that smoke from smoldering brush fires affected Melbourne on May 26.
News report
Massive Brush Fire Closes Central Fla. Roads
Local 6 News via Firehouse
Contemporaneous local reporting said lightning on Friday, May 26 sparked a Brevard-Orange brush fire that grew to about 1,000 acres and later closed roads in Melbourne and the surrounding corridor because of fire and smoke.
What it supports
This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.
Limit
A contemporaneous Associated Press account instead says the large fire began Sunday, so this report cannot establish that the later 1,000-acre incident was the specific source of Friday's PM2.5 event.
What remains uncertain
Conflicting Friday-versus-Sunday onset accounts prevent naming the later 1,000-acre Brevard fire as the source.
NOAA satellite analysts reported no significant regional smoke plume during the day; that product does not exclude a local surface smoke problem documented by NWS.
The official source supports the broad wildfire-smoke category but does not quantify the wildfire-attributable share of the daily PM2.5 value.
Status and provenance
Officially verifiedA directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.