← Air events

Wildfire smoke Officially verified

2006-05-23 Smoldering east-central Florida wildfires episode

May 23, 2006 · Origin: Smoldering east-central Florida wildfires

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 36 µg/m³ near Palm Bay across 1 covered metro home to 658,447 people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

An exact-date NWS discussion directly attributes Melbourne-area visibility obstruction to smoke near smoldering fires; the nearby airport independently recorded smoke for 12 hours.

Officially verified A directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.

NOAA/NWS surface observations via Iowa Environmental Mesonet · May 23, 2006 hypothesis

MELBOURNE REGIONAL surface observations reporting smoke

MELBOURNE REGIONAL, 5.7 km from the PM2.5 target monitor, reported the official present-weather code FU (smoke) during 12 observed hours inside the catalog event window.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    NWS Melbourne reported smoke and haze causing surface visibility obstruction between Titusville and Melbourne after earlier forecasting localized smoke near smoldering fires.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    36 µg/m³ near Palm Bay

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 1.6 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL

Monitor comparison window 2006-05-20 to 2006-05-26 · PM2.5 target: Melbourne

2 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 36 µg/m³

29% above nearby days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 36 µg/m³

29% higher than surrounding days

Before17.7 µg/m³ Event36 µg/m³ After28 µg/m³
1 monitor · 24 HOUR
Ozone 0.048 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.051 ppm Event0.048 ppm After0.036 ppm
2 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL 36 µg/m³ 1.6 May 23, 2006 #3 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

3 retained sources

Official record

Area Forecast Discussion: smoke and haze between Titusville and Melbourne

National Weather Service Melbourne via Iowa Environmental Mesonet

NWS Melbourne reported smoke and haze causing surface visibility obstruction between Titusville and Melbourne after earlier forecasting localized smoke near smoldering fires.

What it supports

An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The discussion attributes the smoke to smoldering fires but does not name a single responsible incident.

Official record

MELBOURNE REGIONAL surface observations reporting smoke

NOAA/NWS surface observations via Iowa Environmental Mesonet

MELBOURNE REGIONAL, 5.7 km from the PM2.5 target monitor, reported the official present-weather code FU (smoke) during 12 observed hours inside the catalog event window.

What it supports

This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.

Limit

The surface code establishes smoke at the nearby airport; it does not identify whether the source was a wildfire, prescribed burn, agricultural fire, or another local fire.

Official record

Incident Management Situation Report, May 23, 2006

National Interagency Coordination Center

NIFC listed the 833-acre Possum Camp Fire near Edgewater as active on May 23, within the east-central Florida corridor discussed by NWS.

What it supports

This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.

Limit

The NIFC record establishes a plausible nearby contributor; it does not link that named fire to the Melbourne monitor or establish it as the only source.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Officially verified A directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.