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Wildfire smoke Possible

2000-09-06 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX wildfire-smoke episode

September 6, 2000

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 46.8 µg/m³ near Houston across 1 covered metro home to 7.8 million people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 1.6 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 12 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

A peer-reviewed Houston-area study documents extensive eastern Texas wildfires during August-September 2000 and measured their air-pollution impacts during the supplied date. It does not quantify this individual daily value, so confidence remains possible.

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    The study documents 96,100 acres burned in the Houston-Galveston-Beaumont-Port Arthur domain during August-September 2000 and evaluates measured wildfire-plume pollution.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    46.8 µg/m³ near Houston

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.1 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX

Monitor comparison window 2000-09-03 to 2000-09-09 · PM2.5 target: SE OF CALDER DRIVE & FM 518 INTERSECTION

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 42.7 µg/m³

189% above nearby days

Air movement 4.84 kt

About the same as surrounding days

PM10 67 µg/m³

123% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 42.7 µg/m³

189% higher than surrounding days

Before17.1 µg/m³ Event42.7 µg/m³ After11.9 µg/m³
12 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 67 µg/m³

123% higher than surrounding days

Before30 µg/m³ Event67 µg/m³ After15 µg/m³
12 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.495 ppm

26% higher than surrounding days

Before0.425 ppm Event0.495 ppm After0.388 ppm
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 12.1 ppb

9% higher than surrounding days

Before12.7 ppb Event12.1 ppb After9.46 ppb
10 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 2.95 ppb

12% higher than surrounding days

Before2.60 ppb Event2.95 ppb After2.65 ppb
6 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.051 ppm

26% higher than surrounding days

Before0.049 ppm Event0.051 ppm After0.031 ppm
17 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 59.7 %

About the same as surrounding days

Pressure 1012 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 83.6 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 4.84 kt

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 46.8 µg/m³ 2.1 Sep 6, 2000 #10 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

1 retained source

Scientific research

Wildfires in eastern Texas in August and September 2000

Atmospheric Environment

The study documents 96,100 acres burned in the Houston-Galveston-Beaumont-Port Arthur domain during August-September 2000 and evaluates measured wildfire-plume pollution.

What it supports

A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.