2007-01-26 to 2007-01-30 Ogden-Clearfield, UT, Provo-Orem, UT, and 1 other metros temperature-inversion pollution episode
January 26, 2007 to January 30, 2007
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 86.6 µg/m³ near Salt Lake City across
3 covered metros home to 2.7 million people.
2 metros placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 11.0 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 30 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Temperature inversion”
Manual research connected 2 source events to one temperature-inversion pollution episode using the deterministic grouping rule.
LikelyApplicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.
Contemporaneous reporting says a Wasatch Front inversion trapped exhaust and particles from factories, furnaces, and fireplaces during the supplied January 26-30 episode.
KSL reported on January 30 that northern Utah's valleys were under a persistent inversion trapping car exhaust, industrial emissions, furnace particles, and fireplace smoke, with unhealthy air persisting through much of January.
Sequence: Salt Lake City (Jan 26) → Ogden (Jan 27) → Provo (Jan 27)
Evidence path
From source to city
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
Contemporaneous reporting says a Wasatch Front inversion trapped exhaust and particles from factories, furnaces, and fireplaces during the supplied January 26-30 episode.
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
86.6 µg/m³ near Salt Lake City
EPA monitors recorded the event across 3 metros.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.9 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Temperature inversion” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Salt Lake City, UT
Monitor comparison window 2007-01-23 to 2007-02-02 · PM2.5 target: Hawthorne
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse78 µg/m³
24% above nearby days
PM10105 µg/m³
About the same as surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.578 µg/m³
24% higher than surrounding days
Before45.4 µg/m³ Event78 µg/m³ After11.9 µg/m³
PM10105 µg/m³
About the same as surrounding days
Before83 µg/m³ Event105 µg/m³ After32.5 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide1.71 ppm
12% higher than surrounding days
Before1.57 ppm Event1.71 ppm After0.754 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide62.5 ppb
14% higher than surrounding days
Before54.9 ppb Event62.5 ppb After31.4 ppb
Sulfur dioxide2.42 ppb
7% higher than surrounding days
Before2.88 ppb Event2.42 ppb After1.50 ppb
Ozone0.006 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.003 ppm Event0.006 ppm After0.016 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity76.4 %
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature23.3 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Ogden-Clearfield, UT
Monitor comparison window 2007-01-23 to 2007-02-02 · PM2.5 target: Ogden
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse63.5 µg/m³
26% above nearby days
Air movement224 Degrees Compass
About the same as surrounding days
PM1098 µg/m³
32% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.563.5 µg/m³
26% higher than surrounding days
Before44.2 µg/m³ Event63.5 µg/m³ After8.15 µg/m³
PM1098 µg/m³
32% higher than surrounding days
Before74 µg/m³ Event98 µg/m³ After31 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide1.75 ppm
6% higher than surrounding days
Before1.69 ppm Event1.75 ppm After1.06 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide56.2 ppb
14% higher than surrounding days
Before53 ppb Event56.2 ppb After31.9 ppb
Sulfur dioxide2.67 ppb
11% higher than surrounding days
Before2.41 ppb Event2.67 ppb After1.50 ppb
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity77.5 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure868 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature24 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind224 Degrees Compass
About the same as surrounding days
Provo-Orem, UT
Monitor comparison window 2007-01-23 to 2007-02-02 · PM2.5 target: North Provo
4 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse68.8 µg/m³
12% above nearby days
PM1099 µg/m³
18% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.568.8 µg/m³
12% higher than surrounding days
Before56.4 µg/m³ Event68.8 µg/m³ After15.8 µg/m³
PM1099 µg/m³
18% higher than surrounding days
Before70 µg/m³ Event99 µg/m³ After27 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide1.38 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before1.35 ppm Event1.38 ppm After0.692 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide45.9 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before46.9 ppb Event45.9 ppb After20 ppb
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
3 retained sources
News report
Utah valleys smothered by inversion
KSL / Associated Press
Contemporaneous reporting says a Wasatch Front inversion trapped exhaust and particles from factories, furnaces, and fireplaces during the supplied January 26-30 episode.
What it supports
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
The report identifies the trapping mechanism but does not apportion the emissions mixture.
News report
A Good Wind, Please: Utah Waits for Clear Air
KSL
KSL reported on January 30 that northern Utah's valleys were under a persistent inversion trapping car exhaust, industrial emissions, furnace particles, and fireplace smoke, with unhealthy air persisting through much of January.
What it supports
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
The story discusses northern Utah's multi-valley episode and specifically cites Salt Lake and Davis counties rather than publishing separate Provo and Ogden source apportionment.
Community report
Salt Lake inversion community report
Daily Kos
An exact-date community account independently describes the prolonged Salt Lake inversion and Code Red PM2.5 conditions on January 26-27.
What it supports
This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.
Limit
Community reporting corroborates timing and conditions but is not an official attribution.
What remains uncertain
Temperature inversion is the accumulation mechanism; the individual source shares remain unresolved.
The mechanism is directly documented at the regional episode level; the source does not quantify each metro's pollutant mix.
Status and provenance
LikelyApplicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.