← Air events

Temperature inversion Likely

2001-01-23 to 2001-01-24 Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, and 1 other metros temperature-inversion pollution episode

January 23, 2001 to January 24, 2001

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 59.6 µg/m³ near Philadelphia across 3 covered metros home to 16 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.9 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 45 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Temperature inversion”

MARAMA's official forecasting assessment lists the January 23-24, 2001 high-PM episode in Baltimore, Philadelphia, and Washington and assigns the January 23 day in each city to a winter CART regime characterized by very low winds and deep, strongly stable layers.

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

MARAMA / Maryland Department of the Environment · Sep 30, 2004 official

Report on PM2.5 Forecasting Tools, Appendix G-1

MARAMA lists January 23-24, 2001 as simultaneous high-PM days in Baltimore, Philadelphia, and Washington. The January 23 city classifications fall in winter CART regimes that the report characterizes by very low surface winds and deep or strongly stable layers.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Sequence: Philadelphia (Jan 23) → Baltimore (Jan 23) → Washington (Jan 23)

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Temperature inversion

    MARAMA lists January 23-24, 2001 as simultaneous high-PM days in Baltimore, Philadelphia, and Washington. The January 23 city classifications fall in winter CART regimes that the report characterizes by very low surface winds and deep or strongly…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    59.6 µg/m³ near Philadelphia

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 3 metros. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.7 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Temperature inversion” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

Monitor comparison window 2001-01-20 to 2001-01-27 · PM2.5 target: Oldtown

5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 48.3 µg/m³

247% above nearby days

Carbon monoxide 1.54 ppm

165% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 48.3 µg/m³

247% higher than surrounding days

Before10.6 µg/m³ Event48.3 µg/m³ After13.5 µg/m³
13 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 1.54 ppm

165% higher than surrounding days

Before0.458 ppm Event1.54 ppm After0.512 ppm
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 34 ppb

60% higher than surrounding days

Before17.1 ppb Event34 ppb After18.8 ppb
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 18.5 ppb

34% higher than surrounding days

Before12.5 ppb Event18.5 ppb After12.3 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.007 ppm

24% lower than surrounding days

Before0.010 ppm Event0.007 ppm After0.019 ppm
3 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 80.7 %

About the same as surrounding days

Pressure 1021 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 37 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 59.6 µg/m³ 5.4 Jan 23, 2001 #15 of its top days
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD 56.7 µg/m³ 2.6 Jan 23, 2001 #12 of its top days
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 54.9 µg/m³ 2.5 Jan 23, 2001 #19 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

1 retained source

Official record

Report on PM2.5 Forecasting Tools, Appendix G-1

MARAMA / Maryland Department of the Environment

MARAMA lists January 23-24, 2001 as simultaneous high-PM days in Baltimore, Philadelphia, and Washington. The January 23 city classifications fall in winter CART regimes that the report characterizes by very low surface winds and deep or strongly stable layers.

What it supports

An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The assessment identifies the meteorological accumulation mechanism but does not allocate measured PM2.5 among individual emitting sources.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.