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Temperature inversion Possible

2001-01-06 Boise City, ID temperature-inversion pollution episode

January 6, 2001

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 58.3 µg/m³ near Boise City across 1 covered metro home to 845,877 people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.3 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 2.0 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Temperature inversion”

Boise's four-monitor particle episode occurred during cold, humid, high-pressure conditions with calm or light wind, freezing fog, mist, and haze. NWS Boise explains that this exact local winter pattern commonly reflects cold air trapped beneath an inversion, which concentrates fireplace smoke and vehicle exhaust. The evidence supports a temperature-inversion accumulation mechanism at possible confidence, not a unique emissions source.

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

National Weather Service surface observations via Iowa Environmental Mesonet · Jan 6, 2001 hypothesis

Boise surface conditions, January 6, 2001

Boise Airport recorded a median temperature of 25 degrees Fahrenheit, median pressure of 1026.2 millibars, calm conditions during 11 of 24 hours, and freezing fog, mist, or haze through much of the day.

U.S. EPA AirData hypothesis

Boise joint pollution fingerprint, January 6, 2001

EPA records show daily PM2.5 of 58.3 micrograms per cubic meter across four monitors, with elevated PM10 and carbon monoxide and substantially lower particle levels after the event.

National Weather Service Boise hypothesis

Local Climate of the Treasure Valley and Boise, Idaho

NWS Boise explains that winter cold air commonly becomes trapped at the surface beneath an inversion in the Treasure Valley, where fireplace smoke and automobile exhaust are concentrated with fog and degraded air quality.

Inference, not direct attribution

surface_cold_pool_with_local_inversion_climatology_possible.v1: This inference is recorded in the catalog methodology.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Pattern-based explanation

    surface_cold_pool_with_local_inversion_climatology_possible.v1. This inference is recorded in the catalog methodology.

    Inferred
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    58.3 µg/m³ near Boise City

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.6 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Temperature inversion” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Boise City, ID

Monitor comparison window 2001-01-03 to 2001-01-09

4 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 58.3 µg/m³

76% above nearby days

Air movement 3 kt median wind

11 calm hours observed

What observers saw 0.25 mi minimum visibility

Haze reported during 6 hours

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 58.3 µg/m³

76% higher than surrounding days

Before40.7 µg/m³ Event58.3 µg/m³ After19.6 µg/m³
4 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 65 µg/m³

76% higher than surrounding days

Before53.5 µg/m³ Event65 µg/m³ After24 µg/m³
2 monitors · 24-HR BLK AVG
Carbon monoxide 2.30 ppm

22% higher than surrounding days

Before2.24 ppm Event2.30 ppm After1.57 ppm
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 22.5 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before22.7 ppb Event22.5 ppb After17.7 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

BOISE MUNICIPAL, 8.1 km from the PM2.5 target
Wind 3 kt median

11 kt maximum · 11 of 24 observed hours calm

Visibility 0.25 mi minimum

12 observed hours at or below 3 miles

Temperature 25°F median

18°F to 33°F

Humidity 89% median

100% maximum

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Boise City, ID 58.3 µg/m³ 2.6 Jan 6, 2001 #19 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

3 retained sources

Official record

Boise surface conditions, January 6, 2001

National Weather Service surface observations via Iowa Environmental Mesonet

Boise Airport recorded a median temperature of 25 degrees Fahrenheit, median pressure of 1026.2 millibars, calm conditions during 11 of 24 hours, and freezing fog, mist, or haze through much of the day.

What it supports

This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.

Limit

One surface station does not directly measure the vertical temperature profile.

Official record

Local Climate of the Treasure Valley and Boise, Idaho

National Weather Service Boise

NWS Boise explains that winter cold air commonly becomes trapped at the surface beneath an inversion in the Treasure Valley, where fireplace smoke and automobile exhaust are concentrated with fog and degraded air quality.

What it supports

This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.

Limit

This is a local climatological mechanism description, not an exact-date inversion diagnosis.

Official record

Boise joint pollution fingerprint, January 6, 2001

U.S. EPA AirData

EPA records show daily PM2.5 of 58.3 micrograms per cubic meter across four monitors, with elevated PM10 and carbon monoxide and substantially lower particle levels after the event.

What it supports

This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.

Limit

The fingerprint demonstrates particle accumulation but cannot by itself identify an inversion or apportion emissions.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.