2000-01-01 Ogden-Clearfield, UT and Salt Lake City, UT temperature-inversion pollution episode
January 1, 2000
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 71.3 µg/m³ near Salt Lake City across
2 covered metros home to 2.0 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 2.7 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 5.4 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Temperature inversion”
A peer-reviewed Utah study specifically reports the January 2000 inversion breakup, when PM2.5 abruptly fell from roughly 100 to 10 micrograms per cubic meter.
LikelyApplicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.
The study specifically describes the breakup of a January 2000 Salt Lake Valley inversion and an abrupt PM2.5 decline from about 100 to 10 micrograms per cubic meter.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
The study specifically describes the breakup of a January 2000 Salt Lake Valley inversion and an abrupt PM2.5 decline from about 100 to 10 micrograms per cubic meter.
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
71.3 µg/m³ near Salt Lake City
EPA monitors recorded the event across 2 metros.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.2 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Temperature inversion” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Ogden-Clearfield, UT
Monitor comparison window 1999-12-29 to 2000-01-04 · PM2.5 target: UTM COORDINATES = PROBE LOCATION ON ROOF OF TRAILER
4 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse49.7 µg/m³
66% above nearby days
Carbon monoxide1.78 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.549.7 µg/m³
66% higher than surrounding days
Before29.9 µg/m³ Event49.7 µg/m³ After9.50 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide1.78 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before2.47 ppm Event1.78 ppm After0.925 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide31.7 ppb
8% lower than surrounding days
Before38.4 ppb Event31.7 ppb After31.6 ppb
Sulfur dioxide4.87 ppb
111% higher than surrounding days
Before2.38 ppb Event4.87 ppb After0.208 ppb
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Temperature25.8 °F
10% lower than surrounding days
Salt Lake City, UT
Monitor comparison window 1999-12-29 to 2000-01-04 · PM2.5 target: Cottonwood
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse56.4 µg/m³
12% above nearby days
PM1074.5 µg/m³
6% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.556.4 µg/m³
12% higher than surrounding days
Before55.2 µg/m³ Event56.4 µg/m³ After11.8 µg/m³
PM1074.5 µg/m³
6% higher than surrounding days
Before79 µg/m³ Event74.5 µg/m³ After25 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide2.46 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before3.57 ppm Event2.46 ppm After0.923 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide51.8 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before52.6 ppb Event51.8 ppb After29.7 ppb
Sulfur dioxide3.88 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before4 ppb Event3.88 ppb After1.58 ppb
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity98 %
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature26.2 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
2 retained sources
Scientific research
Wintertime PM2.5 concentrations during persistent cold-air pools
Atmospheric Environment
The study specifically describes the breakup of a January 2000 Salt Lake Valley inversion and an abrupt PM2.5 decline from about 100 to 10 micrograms per cubic meter.
What it supports
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Transparent inference
Holiday timing pattern
IAQng deterministic inference policy
The event peak falls on 2000-01-01 and the event lasts no more than two days. Under holiday_fireworks_possible.v1, that timing is consistent with a possible fireworks contribution.
What it supports
A possible fireworks contribution; this is a reproducible inference, not direct occurrence or causal evidence.
Limit
Pre-event and post-event temporal-shape data were not supplied.
What remains uncertain
The retained evidence is scoped to the places and dates stated; it is not a catalog promotion.
Status and provenance
LikelyApplicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.