← Air events

Stagnant pollution mixture Likely

2013-11-27 to 2013-11-28 Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA stagnant mixed-pollution episode

November 27, 2013 to November 28, 2013

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 67.7 µg/m³ near Portland across 1 covered metro home to 2.5 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 5.3 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 13 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Stagnant pollution mixture”

Washington Ecology's official monitoring report identifies the exact November-December 2013 Portland-Vancouver episode as a prolonged stagnation event and documents local wood-smoke spikes at the Vancouver monitor. The event-wide label remains a mixed accumulation mechanism rather than a claim that one chimney caused the metro-wide PM2.5 episode.

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

Washington State Department of Ecology official

2014 Ambient Air Monitoring Network Report

Washington Ecology describes a three-week November-December 2013 fall stagnation episode affecting Vancouver and Portland-area monitors, with repeated PM2.5 exceedances and sharp Vancouver spikes caused by nearby chimney smoke.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Stagnant pollution mixture

    Washington Ecology describes a three-week November-December 2013 fall stagnation episode affecting Vancouver and Portland-area monitors, with repeated PM2.5 exceedances and sharp Vancouver spikes caused by nearby chimney smoke.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    67.7 µg/m³ near Portland

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.1 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Stagnant pollution mixture” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

Monitor comparison window 2013-11-24 to 2013-12-01 · PM2.5 target: Vancouver-NE Vancouver Plaza Dr

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 64.5 µg/m³

26% above nearby days

Air movement 1.96 kt

About the same as surrounding days

PM10 21 µg/m³

About the same as surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 64.5 µg/m³

26% higher than surrounding days

Before52.2 µg/m³ Event64.5 µg/m³ After36.8 µg/m³
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
PM10 21 µg/m³

About the same as surrounding days

Before17 µg/m³ Event21 µg/m³ After42 µg/m³
3 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.269 ppm

31% lower than surrounding days

Before0.465 ppm Event0.269 ppm After0.689 ppm
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 10 ppb

20% lower than surrounding days

Before14.4 ppb Event10 ppb After15.5 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 1.59 ppb

5% lower than surrounding days

Before2.28 ppb Event1.59 ppb After1.30 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.015 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.017 ppm Event0.015 ppm After0.005 ppm
1 monitor · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 56.9 %

9% lower than surrounding days

Pressure 1009 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 42 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 1.96 kt

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA 67.7 µg/m³ 5.9 Nov 27, 2013 #14 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

2 retained sources

Official record

EPA AirData daily speciation files

US EPA

EPA CSN provides exact-date particle composition, but the secondary fraction is below the adopted majority threshold.

What it supports

Context for the event; this item does not establish the attributed cause by itself.

Official record

2014 Ambient Air Monitoring Network Report

Washington State Department of Ecology

Washington Ecology describes a three-week November-December 2013 fall stagnation episode affecting Vancouver and Portland-area monitors, with repeated PM2.5 exceedances and sharp Vancouver spikes caused by nearby chimney smoke.

What it supports

An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The report documents a mixed stagnation episode; the local chimney finding is monitor-specific and is not treated as the sole metro-wide source.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.