2008-01-07 Springfield, MA stagnant mixed-pollution episode
January 7, 2008
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 50.8 µg/m³ near Springfield across
1 covered metro home to 464,151 people.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Stagnant pollution mixture”
EPA placed western Massachusetts inside the exact January 7 particle-pollution episode. The same-day NWS discussion independently documented a stagnant southern New England pattern under high pressure, with fog, stratus, moisture buildup, and a low-level inversion. The evidence supports an accumulation mechanism, but not a specific emitting source.
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency · Jan 7, 2008hypothesis
The same-day NWS discussion described a stagnant pattern across southern New England under high pressure, with increasing warmth and moisture, developing stratus, fog, and a low-level inversion.
Inference, not direct attribution
documented_stagnation_overlap_possible.v1: This inference is recorded in the catalog methodology.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
documented_stagnation_overlap_possible.v1. This inference is recorded in the catalog methodology.
Inferred
2
Air-mass movement
The transport path has not been reconstructed
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
50.8 µg/m³ near Springfield
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.3 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Stagnant pollution mixture” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Springfield, MA
Monitor comparison window 2008-01-04 to 2008-01-10 · PM2.5 target: LIBERTY ST PARKING LOT
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse42.5 µg/m³
91% above nearby days
PM1045 µg/m³
No adjacent-day comparison
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.542.5 µg/m³
91% higher than surrounding days
Before22.3 µg/m³ Event42.5 µg/m³ After6.60 µg/m³
PM1045 µg/m³
No adjacent-day comparison
Before— Event45 µg/m³ After—
Carbon monoxide1.64 ppm
78% higher than surrounding days
Before0.922 ppm Event1.64 ppm After0.765 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide33 ppb
7% higher than surrounding days
Before30.8 ppb Event33 ppb After12.9 ppb
Sulfur dioxide9.30 ppb
24% higher than surrounding days
Before9.69 ppb Event9.30 ppb After3.04 ppb
Ozone0.003 ppm
69% lower than surrounding days
Before0.006 ppm Event0.003 ppm After0.018 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity77 %
23% higher than surrounding days
Pressure997 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature41.4 °F
12% higher than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
2 retained sources
Official record
Poor Air Quality Predicted for Much of New England on Monday, January 7, 2008
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
EPA forecast unhealthy particle pollution for western Massachusetts on January 7, 2008, with elevated levels expected to continue into January 8.
What it supports
This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.
Limit
EPA establishes the Springfield-area particle episode but lists only generic particle-source categories rather than an event-specific source.
Official record
Area Forecast Discussion: stagnant southern New England pattern
National Weather Service Boston/Norton via Iowa Environmental Mesonet
The same-day NWS discussion described a stagnant pattern across southern New England under high pressure, with increasing warmth and moisture, developing stratus, fog, and a low-level inversion.
What it supports
This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.
Limit
The forecast discussion establishes the accumulation setting but does not identify the emitting sources trapped within it.
What remains uncertain
The exact episode and stagnant setting are documented, but no exact-day source apportionment was recovered.
This local conclusion does not apply to Albany, which remains unknown, or replace the stronger direct inversion attribution already retained for Bridgeport and New Haven.
Status and provenance
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.