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Stagnant pollution mixture Officially verified

2001-08-05 Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD stagnant mixed-pollution episode

August 5, 2001

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 51.3 µg/m³ near Baltimore across 1 covered metro home to 2.9 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 1.8 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 5.3 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Stagnant pollution mixture”

Maryland's official Baltimore planning appendix identifies August 5, 2001 at 51.3 µg/m³ as the start of a severe regional PM2.5 episode and directly attributes the regional buildup to persistent stagnation beneath an upper-level ridge and surface high.

Officially verified A directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.

Maryland Department of the Environment / MARAMA · Sep 30, 2004 official

Report for MARAMA on PM2.5 Forecasting Tools: Factors Influencing PM2.5 Concentrations

The official Baltimore table reports 51.3 µg/m³ on August 5, 2001. Its episode narrative describes August 5-9 as a severe regional PM episode and attributes the buildup to several days of persistent stagnation under a broad upper-level ridge and a strong mid-Atlantic surface high, with light winds, heat, haze, and little precipitation.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Stagnant pollution mixture

    The official Baltimore table reports 51.3 µg/m³ on August 5, 2001. Its episode narrative describes August 5-9 as a severe regional PM episode and attributes the buildup to several days of persistent stagnation under a broad upper-level ridge and a…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    51.3 µg/m³ near Baltimore

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.3 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Stagnant pollution mixture” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

Monitor comparison window 2001-08-02 to 2001-08-08 · PM2.5 target: FT MEADE LAT/LONG POINT IS OF THE SAMPLING INLET

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 33.9 µg/m³

0% above nearby days

PM10 42 µg/m³

No adjacent-day comparison

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 33.9 µg/m³

About the same as surrounding days

Before16 µg/m³ Event33.9 µg/m³ After45 µg/m³
13 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 42 µg/m³

No adjacent-day comparison

Before Event42 µg/m³ After
7 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.204 ppm

11% lower than surrounding days

Before0.267 ppm Event0.204 ppm After0.188 ppm
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 11.4 ppb

30% lower than surrounding days

Before18.9 ppb Event11.4 ppb After16.1 ppb
4 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 6.54 ppb

76% higher than surrounding days

Before3.50 ppb Event6.54 ppb After8.29 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.052 ppm

8% lower than surrounding days

Before0.044 ppm Event0.052 ppm After0.061 ppm
8 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 80.9 %

12% higher than surrounding days

Pressure 1019 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 81.7 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD 51.3 µg/m³ 2.3 Aug 5, 2001 #20 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

1 retained source

Official record

Report for MARAMA on PM2.5 Forecasting Tools: Factors Influencing PM2.5 Concentrations

Maryland Department of the Environment / MARAMA

The official Baltimore table reports 51.3 µg/m³ on August 5, 2001. Its episode narrative describes August 5-9 as a severe regional PM episode and attributes the buildup to several days of persistent stagnation under a broad upper-level ridge and a strong mid-Atlantic surface high, with light winds, heat, haze, and little precipitation.

What it supports

An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The assessment identifies the accumulation mechanism but does not allocate Baltimore's daily PM2.5 among individual anthropogenic source sectors.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Officially verified A directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.