Daily PM2.5 peaked at 56.8 µg/m³ near Philadelphia across
1 covered metro home to 6.3 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 2.0 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 12 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Stagnant pollution mixture”
MARAMA's official exact-date table reports Philadelphia at 44.6 µg/m³ on June 11, 2000 and assigns the day to CART Bin 34. The same assessment identifies Bin 34 as regional-scale PM buildup and explains that Philadelphia's summertime events are generally associated with regional buildup and transport.
Officially verifiedA directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.
Maryland Department of the Environment / MARAMA · Sep 30, 2004official
The official Philadelphia table reports 44.6 µg/m³ on June 11, 2000 and assigns the day to CART Bin 34, which the assessment characterizes as regional-scale PM buildup. Its Philadelphia discussion says the majority of summertime events are associated with regional-scale buildup and transport of PM.
Mid-Atlantic Regional Air Management Association / Maryland Department of the Environment · Sep 30, 2004corroborates
A retrospective regional PM2.5 analysis lists June 11, 2000 as a high-PM day in Philadelphia and simultaneously in Wilmington, Baltimore, Bristol, and Newark; it does not attribute a specific emission source for this event.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
The official Philadelphia table reports 44.6 µg/m³ on June 11, 2000 and assigns the day to CART Bin 34, which the assessment characterizes as regional-scale PM buildup. Its Philadelphia discussion says the majority of summertime events are…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
56.8 µg/m³ near Philadelphia
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.6 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Stagnant pollution mixture” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Monitor comparison window 2000-06-08 to 2000-06-14
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse42.5 µg/m³
103% above nearby days
Air movement231 Degrees Compass
25% higher than surrounding days
PM1050 µg/m³
No adjacent-day comparison
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.542.5 µg/m³
103% higher than surrounding days
Before26.4 µg/m³ Event42.5 µg/m³ After7.85 µg/m³
PM1050 µg/m³
No adjacent-day comparison
Before— Event50 µg/m³ After—
Carbon monoxide0.481 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.554 ppm Event0.481 ppm After0.442 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide17 ppb
13% lower than surrounding days
Before23.3 ppb Event17 ppb After13.5 ppb
Sulfur dioxide8.71 ppb
38% higher than surrounding days
Before8.33 ppb Event8.71 ppb After1.09 ppb
Ozone0.073 ppm
43% higher than surrounding days
Before0.080 ppm Event0.073 ppm After0.023 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity72 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure1029 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature83.9 °F
9% higher than surrounding days
Wind231 Degrees Compass
25% higher than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
1 retained source
Official record
Report for MARAMA on PM2.5 Forecasting Tools: Philadelphia USG-day classification
Maryland Department of the Environment / MARAMA
The official Philadelphia table reports 44.6 µg/m³ on June 11, 2000 and assigns the day to CART Bin 34, which the assessment characterizes as regional-scale PM buildup. Its Philadelphia discussion says the majority of summertime events are associated with regional-scale buildup and transport of PM.
What it supports
An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
The assessment identifies the regional accumulation and transport regime but does not allocate the daily mass among individual source sectors.
What remains uncertain
The official regime classification does not identify a unique emitting source or source-sector contribution.
Status and provenance
Officially verifiedA directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.