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Stagnant pollution mixture Possible

1999-08-12 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA stagnant mixed-pollution episode

August 12, 1999

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 59.1 µg/m³ near Atlanta across 1 covered metro home to 6.4 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.1 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 14 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Stagnant pollution mixture”

The Atlanta Supersite measured an exact-date PM2.5 peak on August 12 during a documented August 3-23 stagnant regime. The field study attributed that regime to high pressure and weak dispersion, with local carbonaceous accumulation at low wind speeds and transported sulfate during the day. This supports a mixed accumulated-pollution mechanism, but not a single emitting source.

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

U.S. EPA Atlanta Supersite / Journal of Geophysical Research · Jan 1, 2003 corroborates

Overview of the 1999 Atlanta Supersite Project

The study identifies August 12 as a local PM2.5 maximum inside a prolonged August 3-23 stagnant regime. It reports weak synoptic dispersion, accumulation of local carbonaceous emissions during low-wind periods, and sulfate-dominated periods consistent with transport from more distant sources.

Inference, not direct attribution

exact_date_field_study_mixed_accumulation_possible.v1: This inference is recorded in the catalog methodology.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Stagnant pollution mixture

    The study identifies August 12 as a local PM2.5 maximum inside a prolonged August 3-23 stagnant regime. It reports weak synoptic dispersion, accumulation of local carbonaceous emissions during low-wind periods, and sulfate-dominated periods…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    59.1 µg/m³ near Atlanta

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.7 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Stagnant pollution mixture” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

Monitor comparison window 1999-08-09 to 1999-08-15 · PM2.5 target: South DeKalb

5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 41.3 µg/m³

24% above nearby days

Carbon monoxide 1.05 ppm

48% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 41.3 µg/m³

24% higher than surrounding days

Before36.3 µg/m³ Event41.3 µg/m³ After19.1 µg/m³
7 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 1.05 ppm

48% higher than surrounding days

Before0.713 ppm Event1.05 ppm After0.473 ppm
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 17.1 ppb

19% higher than surrounding days

Before15.2 ppb Event17.1 ppb After6.44 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 3.71 ppb

7% lower than surrounding days

Before6.17 ppb Event3.71 ppb After3.54 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.066 ppm

22% higher than surrounding days

Before0.053 ppm Event0.066 ppm After0.054 ppm
13 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 71 %

About the same as surrounding days

Pressure 981 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 84.2 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 59.1 µg/m³ 2.7 Aug 12, 1999 #14 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

1 retained source

Scientific research

Overview of the 1999 Atlanta Supersite Project

U.S. EPA Atlanta Supersite / Journal of Geophysical Research

The study identifies August 12 as a local PM2.5 maximum inside a prolonged August 3-23 stagnant regime. It reports weak synoptic dispersion, accumulation of local carbonaceous emissions during low-wind periods, and sulfate-dominated periods consistent with transport from more distant sources.

What it supports

A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The paper supports a mixed accumulation mechanism and regional/local source pattern, not a unique source or named incident.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.