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Stagnant pollution mixture Possible

1999-08-08 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA stagnant mixed-pollution episode

August 8, 1999

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 53.3 µg/m³ near Atlanta across 1 covered metro home to 6.4 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 1.8 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 12 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Stagnant pollution mixture”

An Atlanta Supersite sample spanning the evening of August 7 into the morning of August 8 directly measured a mixed fine-particle aerosol, with sulfate and ammonium alongside substantial organic carbon. The campaign analysis distinguishes transported sulfate-rich periods from low-wind accumulation of local carbonaceous emissions. This supports a possible mixed accumulation mechanism for the catalog day, not a unique source.

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

U.S. EPA Atlanta Supersite / Journal of Geophysical Research · Apr 16, 2003 corroborates

Discrete measurements of reactive gases and fine particle mass and composition during the 1999 Atlanta Supersite Experiment

The Atlanta Supersite sample from the evening of August 7 through early August 8 measured 47.8 µg/m³ of fine-particle mass. Its reported composition included substantial sulfate and ammonium together with organic carbon, and the campaign analysis associated sulfate-rich periods with regional transport while low-wind carbon peaks reflected accumulated local emissions.

Inference, not direct attribution

exact_window_field_study_mixed_accumulation_possible.v1: This inference is recorded in the catalog methodology.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Stagnant pollution mixture

    The Atlanta Supersite sample from the evening of August 7 through early August 8 measured 47.8 µg/m³ of fine-particle mass. Its reported composition included substantial sulfate and ammonium together with organic carbon, and the campaign analysis…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    53.3 µg/m³ near Atlanta

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.4 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Stagnant pollution mixture” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

Monitor comparison window 1999-08-05 to 1999-08-11 · PM2.5 target: Doraville

5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 46.8 µg/m³

27% above nearby days

Carbon monoxide 0.924 ppm

22% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 46.8 µg/m³

27% higher than surrounding days

Before37.4 µg/m³ Event46.8 µg/m³ After36.3 µg/m³
7 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.924 ppm

22% higher than surrounding days

Before0.769 ppm Event0.924 ppm After0.713 ppm
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 18.1 ppb

23% lower than surrounding days

Before26.7 ppb Event18.1 ppb After15.2 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 2.46 ppb

60% lower than surrounding days

Before6.38 ppb Event2.46 ppb After6.17 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.046 ppm

15% lower than surrounding days

Before0.066 ppm Event0.046 ppm After0.053 ppm
13 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 79.7 %

10% higher than surrounding days

Pressure 982 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 78.3 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 53.3 µg/m³ 2.4 Aug 8, 1999 #23 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

1 retained source

Scientific research

Discrete measurements of reactive gases and fine particle mass and composition during the 1999 Atlanta Supersite Experiment

U.S. EPA Atlanta Supersite / Journal of Geophysical Research

The Atlanta Supersite sample from the evening of August 7 through early August 8 measured 47.8 µg/m³ of fine-particle mass. Its reported composition included substantial sulfate and ammonium together with organic carbon, and the campaign analysis associated sulfate-rich periods with regional transport while low-wind carbon peaks reflected accumulated local emissions.

What it supports

A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The sample covers the evening and overnight portion leading into August 8 rather than the entire local calendar day.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.