← Air events

Stagnant pollution mixture Possible

1999-07-22 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV stagnant mixed-pollution episode

July 22, 1999

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 56.3 µg/m³ near Washington across 1 covered metro home to 6.4 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.1 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 13 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Stagnant pollution mixture”

MARAMA's official Washington table reports 56.3 µg/m³ on July 22, 1999 and assigns the day to CART Bin 37, which the assessment characterizes as persistent high local PM during a summer regime. Because the bin describes persistence more directly than a unique causal pathway, the normalized mixed-accumulation hypothesis remains possible.

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Stagnant pollution mixture

    The official Washington table reports 56.3 µg/m³ on July 22, 1999 and assigns the day to CART Bin 37. The report characterizes that summer bin as persistent high PM in the local area and distinguishes it from rapid- and regional-buildup regimes.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    56.3 µg/m³ near Washington

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.6 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Stagnant pollution mixture” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Monitor comparison window 1999-07-19 to 1999-07-25 · PM2.5 target: RIVER TERRACE

5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 30.3 µg/m³

6% below nearby days

Carbon monoxide 0.579 ppm

10% lower than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 30.3 µg/m³

6% lower than surrounding days

Before32.1 µg/m³ Event30.3 µg/m³ After33.4 µg/m³
8 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.579 ppm

10% lower than surrounding days

Before0.644 ppm Event0.579 ppm After0.670 ppm
8 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 17.4 ppb

6% lower than surrounding days

Before22.2 ppb Event17.4 ppb After18.5 ppb
10 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 6.71 ppb

7% lower than surrounding days

Before9.75 ppb Event6.71 ppb After7.25 ppb
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.042 ppm

18% lower than surrounding days

Before0.045 ppm Event0.042 ppm After0.053 ppm
21 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Pressure 1008 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 81.4 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 56.3 µg/m³ 2.6 Jul 22, 1999 #17 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

1 retained source

Official record

Report for MARAMA on PM2.5 Forecasting Tools: Washington USG-day classification

Maryland Department of the Environment / MARAMA

The official Washington table reports 56.3 µg/m³ on July 22, 1999 and assigns the day to CART Bin 37. The report characterizes that summer bin as persistent high PM in the local area and distinguishes it from rapid- and regional-buildup regimes.

What it supports

An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The bin describes the observed persistence regime more clearly than a unique causal pathway or emitting-source mix.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.