Residential combustion Officially verified
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 85.6 µg/m³ near San Jose across 1 covered metro home to 2.0 million people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 3.5 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 7.0 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.
Why we think this happened
A Bay Area Air Quality Management District staff report explicitly labels January 21, 2001 as a residential-woodsmoke Top 20 Bay Area PM2.5 day. CARB's same-season San Jose source-apportionment summary remains useful context but is not the basis for the exact-date cause.
Officially verified A directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.
Bay Area Air Quality Management District via California Air Resources Board · Nov 1, 2019 official
The Air District's official Top 20 chart identifies the Bay Area PM2.5 peak on January 21, 2001 as caused by residential woodsmoke.
California Air Resources Board corroborates
CARB's source-apportionment summary for San Jose peak PM2.5 samples collected during December 2000-January 2001 identifies a mixture dominated by motor-vehicle emissions, ammonium nitrate, and wood or plant burning.
Evidence path
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.
Source or mechanism
The Air District's official Top 20 chart identifies the Bay Area PM2.5 peak on January 21, 2001 as caused by residential woodsmoke.
View supporting source ↗Air-mass movement
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Local response
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.9 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓Event autopsy
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Residential combustion” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
Monitor comparison window 2001-01-18 to 2001-01-24 · PM2.5 target: San Jose - 4th St.
77% above nearby days
6% lower than surrounding days
42% higher than surrounding days
77% higher than surrounding days
42% higher than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
45% lower than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
6% lower than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Episode peak
-- cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Views from the selected metro
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
| Metro | Peak PM2.5 | Cigarettes, whole event | Peak day | All-time standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA | 85.6 µg/m³ | 3.9 | Jan 21, 2001 | #9 of its top days |
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
Bay Area Air Quality Management District via California Air Resources Board
The Air District's official Top 20 chart identifies the Bay Area PM2.5 peak on January 21, 2001 as caused by residential woodsmoke.
An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
The retrospective chart gives a regional daily cause label but does not publish a monitor-level source fraction or the underlying attribution procedure on the chart page.
California Air Resources Board
CARB's source-apportionment summary for San Jose peak PM2.5 samples collected during December 2000-January 2001 identifies a mixture dominated by motor-vehicle emissions, ammonium nitrate, and wood or plant burning.
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
The study period covers the event, but the published summary does not isolate the January 21 daily sample.
Officially verified A directly applicable government determination or qualified scientific attribution product identifies this cause.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.