Daily PM2.5 peaked at 86.5 µg/m³ near Knoxville across
1 covered metro home to 957,608 people.
1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 3.4 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 3.3 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Regional secondary PM”
Same-year field measurements show a regionally consistent Tennessee Valley aerosol with a summer sulfate maximum and substantial organic aerosol. This is a bounded regional-secondary hypothesis, not an exact-day source attribution.
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
Tennessee Valley Authority researchers / Atmospheric Environment · Jun 1, 2004hypothesis
A 2001 Tennessee Valley field study found that organic aerosol and sulfate were the two largest fine-particle components across urban, rural, and background sites, with sulfate reaching its seasonal maximum in summer and rural/background composition remaining regionally similar.
Inference, not direct attribution
same_year_local_seasonal_composition_possible.v1: This inference is recorded in the catalog methodology.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
same_year_local_seasonal_composition_possible.v1. This inference is recorded in the catalog methodology.
Inferred
2
Air-mass movement
The transport path has not been reconstructed
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
86.5 µg/m³ near Knoxville
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.9 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Regional secondary PM” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Knoxville, TN
Monitor comparison window 2001-07-14 to 2001-07-20 · PM2.5 target: Spring Hill Elementary School
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse65.2 µg/m³
94% above nearby days
Air movement2.16 kt
About the same as surrounding days
PM1065 µg/m³
51% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.565.2 µg/m³
94% higher than surrounding days
Before16.8 µg/m³ Event65.2 µg/m³ After42 µg/m³
PM1065 µg/m³
51% higher than surrounding days
Before18 µg/m³ Event65 µg/m³ After57 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.713 ppm
6% higher than surrounding days
Before0.146 ppm Event0.713 ppm After0.671 ppm
Sulfur dioxide2.46 ppb
7% higher than surrounding days
Before2.31 ppb Event2.46 ppb After1.83 ppb
Ozone0.052 ppm
9% higher than surrounding days
Before0.049 ppm Event0.052 ppm After0.043 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity72.3 %
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature72.1 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind2.16 kt
About the same as surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
1 retained source
Scientific research
Regional composition of PM2.5 aerosols measured at urban, rural and background sites in the Tennessee valley
Tennessee Valley Authority researchers / Atmospheric Environment
A 2001 Tennessee Valley field study found that organic aerosol and sulfate were the two largest fine-particle components across urban, rural, and background sites, with sulfate reaching its seasonal maximum in summer and rural/background composition remaining regionally similar.
What it supports
This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.
Limit
The sites bracket the Tennessee Valley and include Look Rock near Knoxville, but the published summary does not isolate Knoxville's July 17 monitor-day.
What remains uncertain
No exact-date alert, incident, smoke transport record, or daily composition sample was recovered.
Status and provenance
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.