← Air events

Prescribed fire Possible

2020-04-14 Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL prescribed-fire smoke episode

April 14, 2020

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 21.3 µg/m³ near Cape Coral across 1 covered metro home to 860,959 people.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Prescribed fire”

Same-day South Florida community reports describe widespread smoke and haze and independently point to agricultural burning near Lake Okeechobee. No official transport analysis was recovered for Cape Coral, so this is retained only as a possible cause.

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Prescribed fire

    South Florida residents reported unusual haze and smoke on April 14 and attributed it to agricultural burning around Lake Okeechobee.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    21.3 µg/m³ near Cape Coral

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 1.0 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Prescribed fire” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL

Monitor comparison window 2020-04-11 to 2020-04-17 · PM2.5 target: Winkler Pump Station

3 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 20.9 µg/m³

18% above nearby days

PM10 37 µg/m³

23% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 20.9 µg/m³

18% higher than surrounding days

Before18.5 µg/m³ Event20.9 µg/m³ After9.25 µg/m³
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
PM10 37 µg/m³

23% higher than surrounding days

Before30 µg/m³ Event37 µg/m³ After18 µg/m³
1 monitor · 24-HR BLK AVG
Ozone 0.026 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.026 ppm Event0.026 ppm After0.032 ppm
2 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Temperature 81.8 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL 21.3 µg/m³ 1.0 Apr 14, 2020 #21 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

1 retained source

Community report

South Florida haze discussion — April 14, 2020

Reddit r/fortlauderdale

South Florida residents reported unusual haze and smoke on April 14 and attributed it to agricultural burning around Lake Okeechobee.

What it supports

A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

This is community reporting from the same South Florida region, not an official transport determination for the Cape Coral monitor.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Possible This is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.