2005-09-13 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA mixed-source pollution episode
September 13, 2005
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 52.5 µg/m³ near Atlanta across
1 covered metro home to 6.4 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 1.8 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 12 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Mixed causes”
NOAA's same-day satellite narrative places a broad smoke-and-haze area over western Georgia, thickest over Georgia and Alabama, and attributes the smoke to western wildfires plus agricultural and controlled burns in the lower Mississippi Valley. The same-day NWS Atlanta discussion forecast clear but hazy skies, two-to-four-mile visibility overnight, and three-to-five-mile visibility in haze the next morning. The date, place, and stated limitations support possible confidence only.
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
NOAA's same-day satellite narrative places a broad smoke-and-haze area over western Georgia, thickest over Georgia and Alabama, and attributes the smoke to western wildfires plus agricultural and controlled burns in the lower Mississippi Valley.
U.S. EPA AirData Chemical Speciation Network · Sep 13, 2005hypothesis
The same-day NWS Atlanta discussion forecast clear but hazy skies, two-to-four-mile visibility overnight, and three-to-five-mile visibility in haze the next morning.
Inference, not direct attribution
Same-day particle composition: EPA speciation observations on the peak date show a majority secondary-inorganic aerosol signature. This supports a regional secondary-particle mechanism, not a single emitting source.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
NOAA's same-day satellite narrative places a broad smoke-and-haze area over western Georgia, thickest over Georgia and Alabama, and attributes the smoke to western wildfires plus agricultural and controlled burns in the lower Mississippi Valley.
NOAA's same-day satellite narrative places a broad smoke-and-haze area over western Georgia, thickest over Georgia and Alabama, and attributes the smoke to western wildfires plus agricultural and controlled burns in the lower Mississippi Valley.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Mixed causes” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA
Monitor comparison window 2005-09-10 to 2005-09-16 · PM2.5 target: E. Rivers School
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse35.1 µg/m³
13% above nearby days
PM1057 µg/m³
39% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.535.1 µg/m³
13% higher than surrounding days
Before27 µg/m³ Event35.1 µg/m³ After33.4 µg/m³
PM1057 µg/m³
39% higher than surrounding days
Before37 µg/m³ Event57 µg/m³ After53 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.575 ppm
10% higher than surrounding days
Before0.559 ppm Event0.575 ppm After0.450 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide18.8 ppb
21% higher than surrounding days
Before15.2 ppb Event18.8 ppb After20 ppb
Sulfur dioxide2.25 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before1.88 ppb Event2.25 ppb After4.17 ppb
Ozone0.041 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.043 ppm Event0.041 ppm After0.037 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity74 %
5% higher than surrounding days
Pressure983 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature72.8 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
3 retained sources
Official record
Smoke Text Product: Eastern U.S. smoke and haze
NOAA Satellite Services Division
NOAA's same-day satellite narrative places a broad smoke-and-haze area over western Georgia, thickest over Georgia and Alabama, and attributes the smoke to western wildfires plus agricultural and controlled burns in the lower Mississippi Valley.
What it supports
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
Satellite analysis does not establish how much of Atlanta's surface PM2.5 came from smoke versus the co-located regional haze.
Official record
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA PM2.5 composition on 2005-09-13
U.S. EPA AirData Chemical Speciation Network
EPA's exact-date CSN sample reconstructed 32.1 µg/m³ of PM2.5. Ammonium sulfate and ammonium nitrate contributed 20.7 µg/m³, or 64.5% of reconstructed mass.
What it supports
This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.
Limit
Chemical composition identifies the measured aerosol mechanism, not a particular emitting facility or source region.
Official record
Area Forecast Discussion: persistent local haze
National Weather Service Atlanta via Iowa Environmental Mesonet
The same-day NWS Atlanta discussion forecast clear but hazy skies, two-to-four-mile visibility overnight, and three-to-five-mile visibility in haze the next morning.
What it supports
This source supports a possible mechanism or occurrence; it does not establish the cause by itself.
Limit
The forecast discussion confirms local surface haze but does not identify its source.
What remains uncertain
Satellite analysis does not establish how much of Atlanta's surface PM2.5 came from smoke versus the co-located regional haze.
The forecast discussion confirms local surface haze but does not identify its source.
Status and provenance
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.