2005-06-23 to 2005-06-28 Eastern U.S. regional haze mixture episode
June 23, 2005 to June 28, 2005 · Origin: Eastern U.S. regional haze mixture
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 77.8 µg/m³ near Pittsburgh across
3 covered metros home to 4.5 million people.
1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 4.1 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 19 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Mixed causes”
Manual research connected 3 source events to one mixed-source pollution episode using the deterministic grouping rule.
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
EPA's review found a widespread sulfate event across the Southeast on June 24, 2005 and found the Kentucky wildfire evidence insufficient for causal attribution. The source supplies regional context only for the June 24 Little Rock and Memphis observations.
NASA describes particle pollution across the Mississippi River Valley and Deep South from June 20 onward, with stable humid air trapping aerosol from vehicles, power plants, and fires; its June 23 satellite image shows the haze over the lower Midwest and Gulf region.
NASA documented a broad eastern U.S. haze episode during the event window caused by stable humid conditions retaining particles from vehicles, power plants, and fires.
Sequence: Little Rock (Jun 23) → Memphis (Jun 23) → Pittsburgh (Jun 25)
Evidence path
From source to city
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
NASA describes particle pollution across the Mississippi River Valley and Deep South from June 20 onward, with stable humid air trapping aerosol from vehicles, power plants, and fires; its June 23 satellite image shows the haze over the lower…
NASA describes particle pollution across the Mississippi River Valley and Deep South from June 20 onward, with stable humid air trapping aerosol from vehicles, power plants, and fires; its June 23 satellite image shows the haze over the lower…
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Mixed causes” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Pittsburgh, PA
Monitor comparison window 2005-06-22 to 2005-06-28 · PM2.5 target: Liberty
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse48.1 µg/m³
37% above nearby days
PM1062 µg/m³
22% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.548.1 µg/m³
37% higher than surrounding days
Before25.2 µg/m³ Event48.1 µg/m³ After35 µg/m³
PM1062 µg/m³
22% higher than surrounding days
Before36 µg/m³ Event62 µg/m³ After51 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.313 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.173 ppm Event0.313 ppm After0.317 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide13.1 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before12.6 ppb Event13.1 ppb After12.5 ppb
Sulfur dioxide10.1 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before10.4 ppb Event10.1 ppb After9.81 ppb
Ozone0.055 ppm
25% higher than surrounding days
Before0.042 ppm Event0.055 ppm After0.044 ppm
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Monitor comparison window 2005-06-20 to 2005-06-29 · PM2.5 target: CONWAY
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse42.4 µg/m³
12% above nearby days
Carbon monoxide0.369 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.542.4 µg/m³
12% higher than surrounding days
Before35.5 µg/m³ Event42.4 µg/m³ After37.7 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.369 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.367 ppm Event0.369 ppm After0.300 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide16 ppb
11% higher than surrounding days
Before14 ppb Event16 ppb After12.5 ppb
Sulfur dioxide1.43 ppb
10% higher than surrounding days
Before0.739 ppb Event1.43 ppb After1.43 ppb
Ozone0.058 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.050 ppm Event0.058 ppm After0.058 ppm
Memphis, TN-MS-AR
Monitor comparison window 2005-06-20 to 2005-06-29
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse40.3 µg/m³
20% above nearby days
Carbon monoxide0.425 ppm
15% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.540.3 µg/m³
20% higher than surrounding days
Before33.1 µg/m³ Event40.3 µg/m³ After28.1 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.425 ppm
15% higher than surrounding days
Before0.363 ppm Event0.425 ppm After0.338 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide12.8 ppb
11% higher than surrounding days
Before9.55 ppb Event12.8 ppb After8.84 ppb
Sulfur dioxide3.31 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before3 ppb Event3.31 ppb After4.22 ppb
Ozone0.049 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.053 ppm Event0.049 ppm After0.045 ppm
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
3 retained sources
Official record
Haze Over the United States
NASA Earth Observatory
NASA documented a broad eastern U.S. haze episode during the event window caused by stable humid conditions retaining particles from vehicles, power plants, and fires.
What it supports
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
Pittsburgh is near the edge of the narrative's named regions and no local source share is given.
Official record
Haze Over the United States
NASA Earth Observatory
NASA reported that haze lingering from June 20 into early July across the lower Midwest and Deep South combined particles from vehicles, power plants, and fires under stable humid conditions.
What it supports
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
The regional account does not quantify source shares in Little Rock.
Official record
Haze over the United States
NASA Earth Observatory
NASA describes particle pollution across the Mississippi River Valley and Deep South from June 20 onward, with stable humid air trapping aerosol from vehicles, power plants, and fires; its June 23 satellite image shows the haze over the lower Midwest and Gulf region.
What it supports
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
The source mixture is regional and not apportioned by metro.
What remains uncertain
Causal scope is regional and confidence remains possible.
Regional mixture only; no single source is established.
The classification is bounded to the retained evidence and does not apportion every source contributing to the daily PM2.5 value.
Status and provenance
PossibleThis is a transparent hypothesis supported by limited evidence or an explicit inference, not a definitive attribution.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.