April 1, 2025 · Origin: Windblown regional desert dust
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 288.5 µg/m³ near El Paso across
1 covered metro home to 879,392 people.
1 metro recorded their worst day on record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 12.7 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 11 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Dust”
An exact official dust advisory and independent contemporaneous local reporting identify a severe windblown-dust event in El Paso.
High confidenceAt least two independent causal origins and evidence families agree on this cause.
National Weather Service via weatherUSA · Apr 1, 2025official
The NWS reports that a powerful April 1–4 storm brought very strong winds and considerable blowing dust to the El Paso region. It does not itself quantify the event PM2.5 contribution.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
288.5 µg/m³ near El Paso
The NWS reports that a powerful April 1–4 storm brought very strong winds and considerable blowing dust to the El Paso region. It does not itself quantify the event PM2.5 contribution.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Dust” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
El Paso, TX
Monitor comparison window 2025-03-29 to 2025-04-04 · PM2.5 target: El Paso Chamizal
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse97.8 µg/m³
556% above nearby days
Air movement11.2 kt
72% higher than surrounding days
PM101361 µg/m³
1379% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.597.8 µg/m³
556% higher than surrounding days
Before14.9 µg/m³ Event97.8 µg/m³ After9.01 µg/m³
PM101361 µg/m³
1379% higher than surrounding days
Before92 µg/m³ Event1361 µg/m³ After48 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.220 ppm
13% lower than surrounding days
Before0.270 ppm Event0.220 ppm After0.252 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide8 ppb
43% higher than surrounding days
Before5.58 ppb Event8 ppb After4.49 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.104 ppb
30% higher than surrounding days
Before0.054 ppb Event0.104 ppb After0.483 ppb
Ozone0.040 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.039 ppm Event0.040 ppm After0.044 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity26.8 %
5% higher than surrounding days
Pressure884 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature69.5 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind11.2 kt
72% higher than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
2 retained sources
Official record
Blowing Dust Advisory for Eastern/Central El Paso County
National Weather Service via weatherUSA
The NWS advisory for April 1 identifies blowing dust across El Paso County, visibility of one-quarter to one mile, and gusts near 60 mph.
What it supports
An official source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
The canonical NWS alert is preserved through an alert mirror.
News report
ABC-7 First Alert: Winds, dust, and fire risk
KVIA
Contemporaneous El Paso reporting says strong winds produced blowing dust and sand and reduced visibility to roughly one-quarter mile.
What it supports
A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.
Limit
The report does not apportion the certified daily PM2.5 mass by source.
What remains uncertain
The evidence supports cause, not a dust-only quantitative PM2.5 estimate.
Status and provenance
High confidenceAt least two independent causal origins and evidence families agree on this cause.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.