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Dust Likely

2025-03-06 El Paso, TX dust episode

March 6, 2025

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 127.3 µg/m³ near El Paso across 1 covered metro home to 879,392 people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 5.4 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 4.7 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Dust”

Exact-date local reporting directly connects the observed dust storm with poor air quality.

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

KVIA ABC-7 El Paso · Mar 6, 2025 corroborates

Terrible Thursday; more gusty winds Friday with some dust

The local chief meteorologist reported a dust storm in El Paso on March 6, visibility below one mile, poor air quality, wind gusts near 50 mph, and dust and sand persisting into the evening.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Dust

    The local chief meteorologist reported a dust storm in El Paso on March 6, visibility below one mile, poor air quality, wind gusts near 50 mph, and dust and sand persisting into the evening.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The 72-hour air-mass history is reconstructed

    NOAA HYSPLIT modeled 12 backward paths across multiple arrival times and heights. They show where the air traveled, not which source polluted it.

    Explore the modeled paths ↓
    Modeled
  3. 3

    Local response

    127.3 µg/m³ near El Paso

    NOAA's Storm Events record documents a March 6 El Paso County dust storm with quarter-mile or lower visibility. It corroborates the dust episode but does not quantify its PM2.5 contribution.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Dust” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

El Paso, TX

Monitor comparison window 2025-03-03 to 2025-03-09 · PM2.5 target: Ascarate Park SE

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 122 µg/m³

173% above nearby days

Air movement 6.67 kt

14% lower than surrounding days

PM10 529 µg/m³

18% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 122 µg/m³

173% higher than surrounding days

Before44.8 µg/m³ Event122 µg/m³ After7.85 µg/m³
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
PM10 529 µg/m³

18% higher than surrounding days

Before448 µg/m³ Event529 µg/m³ After60 µg/m³
2 monitors · 24-HR BLK AVG
Carbon monoxide 0.396 ppm

27% higher than surrounding days

Before0.311 ppm Event0.396 ppm After0.275 ppm
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 18.2 ppb

41% higher than surrounding days

Before12.9 ppb Event18.2 ppb After6.21 ppb
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.656 ppb

190% higher than surrounding days

Before0.191 ppb Event0.656 ppb After0.226 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.034 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.036 ppm Event0.034 ppm After0.030 ppm
6 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 18.4 %

41% lower than surrounding days

Pressure 888 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 62.4 °F

10% higher than surrounding days

Wind 6.67 kt

14% lower than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Air-mass reconstruction

Where the air had been

NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.

Transport context · not source attribution

Air arriving near El Paso

Peak-date arrivals · 2025-03-06

Broad history Mostly northwest of the metro
72-hour reach 800–2,750 km
Sensitivity runs 12 modeled paths
Arrival metro
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m

Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
El Paso, TX 127.3 µg/m³ 5.8 Mar 6, 2025 #6 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

1 retained source

News report

Terrible Thursday; more gusty winds Friday with some dust

KVIA ABC-7 El Paso

The local chief meteorologist reported a dust storm in El Paso on March 6, visibility below one mile, poor air quality, wind gusts near 50 mph, and dust and sand persisting into the evening.

What it supports

A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.