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Dust Likely

2013-08-08 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX dust episode

August 8, 2013

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 43.4 µg/m³ near Dallas across 1 covered metro home to 8.3 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 1.5 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 12 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Dust”

Satellite/AirNow analysis and airborne aerosol research independently document a long-range Saharan dust layer across Texas on August 8, with PM2.5 elevated beyond the pattern normally expected under Gulf inflow.

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Dust

    The case study says Saharan dust crossed the Atlantic on August 8, 2013 and that PM2.5 in Texas and Louisiana reached Moderate to Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups levels beyond what is normally expected with clean Gulf inflow.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    Transport into the affected region is documented

    The case study says Saharan dust crossed the Atlantic on August 8, 2013 and that PM2.5 in Texas and Louisiana reached Moderate to Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups levels beyond what is normally expected with clean Gulf inflow.

    View transport source ↗
    Documented
  3. 3

    Local response

    43.4 µg/m³ near Dallas

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.0 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Dust” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Monitor comparison window 2013-08-05 to 2013-08-11 · PM2.5 target: Fort Worth Northwest

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 29.8 µg/m³

111% above nearby days

Air movement 5.08 kt

About the same as surrounding days

PM10 60 µg/m³

No adjacent-day comparison

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 29.8 µg/m³

111% higher than surrounding days

Before9 µg/m³ Event29.8 µg/m³ After14.1 µg/m³
5 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 60 µg/m³

No adjacent-day comparison

Before Event60 µg/m³ After
4 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.143 ppm

7% lower than surrounding days

Before0.154 ppm Event0.143 ppm After0.165 ppm
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 4.28 ppb

28% higher than surrounding days

Before3 ppb Event4.28 ppb After3.85 ppb
11 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.498 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.489 ppb Event0.498 ppb After0.271 ppb
4 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.033 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.032 ppm Event0.033 ppm After0.045 ppm
19 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 64.8 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Pressure 991 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 90.1 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 5.08 kt

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 43.4 µg/m³ 2.0 Aug 8, 2013 #15 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

2 retained sources

Official record

Saharan Dust and Wildfire Smoke: An Evaluation of Enhancing AirNow with NASA Satellite Data

Earthzine / NASA AirNow satellite evaluation

The case study says Saharan dust crossed the Atlantic on August 8, 2013 and that PM2.5 in Texas and Louisiana reached Moderate to Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups levels beyond what is normally expected with clean Gulf inflow.

What it supports

A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The accessible narrative describes Texas and Louisiana broadly rather than reporting a Dallas-only source-apportionment value.

Scientific research

Airborne HSRL aerosol analysis of the August 8, 2013 Texas Saharan-dust layer

North Carolina State University repository

The repository text reports that on August 8 a transported Saharan-dust layer extended across Texas, Louisiana, and the Gulf of Mexico and was observed by airborne lidar and AQS measurements.

What it supports

A retained source supports the attributed cause for the stated place and dates.

Limit

The flight analysis establishes the regional dust layer but does not isolate the Dallas monitor-day contribution.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Likely Applicable reporting or a supported inference makes this the best current causal explanation.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.