2025-07-04 fireworks episode affecting Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN, Dayton, OH, Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
July 4, 2025 to July 5, 2025
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 82.1 µg/m³ near Indianapolis across
4 covered metros home to 6.7 million people.
3 metros placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 3.6 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 24 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Fireworks”
The supplied retained evidence supports fireworks for this event; no supplied evidence establishes membership in a broader time-bounded episode.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 5, 2025official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 107 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-07-05, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 5, 2025official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 44 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-07-05, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 4, 2025official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 17 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Sequence: Indianapolis (Jul 4) → Cincinnati (Jul 4) → Louisville/Jefferson County (Jul 5) → Dayton (Jul 5)
Evidence path
From source to city
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 107 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-07-05, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag,…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
82.1 µg/m³ near Indianapolis
EPA monitors recorded the event across 4 metros.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.7 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Fireworks” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Monitor comparison window 2025-07-01 to 2025-07-08 · PM2.5 target: Cincinnati Near Road
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse31.2 µg/m³
147% above nearby days
Air movement1.15 kt
40% lower than surrounding days
PM1047 µg/m³
72% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.531.2 µg/m³
147% higher than surrounding days
Before9.85 µg/m³ Event31.2 µg/m³ After11.2 µg/m³
PM1047 µg/m³
72% higher than surrounding days
Before19 µg/m³ Event47 µg/m³ After27 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.370 ppm
31% higher than surrounding days
Before0.297 ppm Event0.370 ppm After0.217 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide11.3 ppb
52% higher than surrounding days
Before6.91 ppb Event11.3 ppb After7.19 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.698 ppb
11% higher than surrounding days
Before0.537 ppb Event0.698 ppb After0.746 ppb
Ozone0.040 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.042 ppm Event0.040 ppm After0.035 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity58.9 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure985 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature83.8 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind1.15 kt
40% lower than surrounding days
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Monitor comparison window 2025-07-01 to 2025-07-08 · PM2.5 target: Indpls- W. 18th St./ Ernie Pyle School 90
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse53.2 µg/m³
301% above nearby days
Air movement1.90 kt
9% lower than surrounding days
PM1092.5 µg/m³
157% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.553.2 µg/m³
301% higher than surrounding days
Before11.3 µg/m³ Event53.2 µg/m³ After13.5 µg/m³
PM1092.5 µg/m³
157% higher than surrounding days
Before34 µg/m³ Event92.5 µg/m³ After27 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.476 ppm
16% higher than surrounding days
Before0.331 ppm Event0.476 ppm After0.394 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide8.12 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before10.9 ppb Event8.12 ppb After6.66 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.273 ppb
156% higher than surrounding days
Before0.083 ppb Event0.273 ppb After0.113 ppb
Ozone0.041 ppm
7% higher than surrounding days
Before0.040 ppm Event0.041 ppm After0.033 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity55.6 %
5% lower than surrounding days
Pressure990 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature82.6 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind1.90 kt
9% lower than surrounding days
Dayton, OH
Monitor comparison window 2025-07-01 to 2025-07-08 · PM2.5 target: Sinclair
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse23.2 µg/m³
102% above nearby days
Air movement2.60 kt
23% lower than surrounding days
PM1036.3 µg/m³
77% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.523.2 µg/m³
102% higher than surrounding days
Before9.14 µg/m³ Event23.2 µg/m³ After11 µg/m³
PM1036.3 µg/m³
77% higher than surrounding days
Before17.5 µg/m³ Event36.3 µg/m³ After16.5 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.167 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.152 ppm Event0.167 ppm After0.178 ppm
Sulfur dioxide-0.057 ppb
8% lower than surrounding days
Before-0.061 ppb Event-0.057 ppb After0.013 ppb
Ozone0.037 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.037 ppm Event0.037 ppm After0.040 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity62.1 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure976 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature80.3 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind2.60 kt
23% lower than surrounding days
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Monitor comparison window 2025-07-01 to 2025-07-08 · PM2.5 target: Durrett Lane (Near Road)
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse23.9 µg/m³
110% above nearby days
Air movement1.23 kt
23% lower than surrounding days
PM1032.3 µg/m³
24% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.523.9 µg/m³
110% higher than surrounding days
Before8.94 µg/m³ Event23.9 µg/m³ After10.6 µg/m³
PM1032.3 µg/m³
24% higher than surrounding days
Before19 µg/m³ Event32.3 µg/m³ After24 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.340 ppm
66% higher than surrounding days
Before0.176 ppm Event0.340 ppm After0.162 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide10.1 ppb
31% higher than surrounding days
Before6.35 ppb Event10.1 ppb After7.15 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.619 ppb
11% higher than surrounding days
Before0.278 ppb Event0.619 ppb After1.18 ppb
Ozone0.040 ppm
8% higher than surrounding days
Before0.036 ppm Event0.040 ppm After0.029 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity62.1 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure998 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature82.6 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind1.23 kt
23% lower than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 5, 2025officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 107 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-07-05, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 5, 2025officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 44 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-07-05, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 4, 2025officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 17 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 4, 2025officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 60 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-07-04, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
A local report relaying IDEM's July 4 forecast said stable conditions plus fireworks emissions could push central Indiana PM2.5 into the Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups range; this directly covers the Indianapolis member only.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.