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Wildfire smoke Agency determination

2025-01-22 wildfire smoke episode affecting Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA

January 22, 2025

Named source Hughes Fire 10,425 acres , CA · IRWIN 2025-CAANF-250270

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 45.3 µg/m³ near Oxnard across 1 covered metro home to 835,427 people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 1.6 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 1.3 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

The supplied retained evidence supports wildfire smoke for this event; no supplied evidence establishes membership in a broader time-bounded episode.

Agency determination A government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 22, 2025 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 30 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-01-22, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

Ventura County Air Pollution Control District via NWS · Jan 22, 2025 official

Archived Ventura County Air Quality Alert, January 22, 2025

Ventura County APCD explicitly attributed increased particulate matter in Oxnard and nearby communities to wildfire smoke. IEM is the archive, not the official system of record.

Ventura County Air Pollution Control District · Jan 22, 2025 official

Air Quality Alert for smoke issued in county

The district stated that smoke from the Hughes Fire made the AQI unhealthy in Oxnard and other Ventura County communities and identified PM2.5 as the relevant fine-particle pollutant.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 30 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-01-22, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    45.3 µg/m³ near Oxnard

    State labor officials reported wildfire smoke affecting Oxnard and directed employers to monitor PM2.5 AQI.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA

Monitor comparison window 2025-01-19 to 2025-01-25 · PM2.5 target: El Rio-Rio Mesa School #2

4 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 15.2 µg/m³

119% above nearby days

Air movement 6.45 kt

About the same as surrounding days

PM10 108 µg/m³

286% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 15.2 µg/m³

119% higher than surrounding days

Before6.94 µg/m³ Event15.2 µg/m³ After2.69 µg/m³
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
PM10 108 µg/m³

286% higher than surrounding days

Before28 µg/m³ Event108 µg/m³ After23 µg/m³
2 monitors · 24-HR BLK AVG
Nitrogen dioxide 4.61 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before3.04 ppb Event4.61 ppb After6.04 ppb
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.039 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.038 ppm Event0.039 ppm After0.032 ppm
5 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 9.33 %

65% lower than surrounding days

Temperature 63.5 °F

13% higher than surrounding days

Wind 6.45 kt

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA 45.3 µg/m³ 2.1 Jan 22, 2025 #11 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 1

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 22, 2025 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 30 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2025-01-22, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

NWS Air Quality Alert 1

  • Archived Ventura County Air Quality Alert, January 22, 2025

    Ventura County Air Pollution Control District via NWS · Jan 22, 2025 official government

    Ventura County APCD explicitly attributed increased particulate matter in Oxnard and nearby communities to wildfire smoke. IEM is the archive, not the official system of record.

Agency and publisher pages 2

Cited authorities: Ventura County Air Pollution Control District

Status and provenance

Agency determination A government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.