Daily PM2.5 peaked at 56.5 µg/m³ near Minneapolis across
1 covered metro home to 3.8 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 2.1 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 8.0 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
Qualified supplied evidence supports wildfire smoke as the root cause of this event. The supplied record does not establish a coherent shared occurrence with neighboring candidates, so the episode remains event-specific.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · May 13, 2024official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IF, Fire - Canadian.) on 240 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2024-05-13, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Minnesota Pollution Control Agency · May 12, 2024official
MPCA's statewide alert, including the Twin Cities, states that heavy smoke from wildfires in northeast British Columbia moved into Minnesota and would sweep south through May 13.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IF, Fire - Canadian.) on 240 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2024-05-13, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…
MPCA's statewide alert, including the Twin Cities, states that heavy smoke from wildfires in northeast British Columbia moved into Minnesota and would sweep south through May 13.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Monitor comparison window 2024-05-10 to 2024-05-16 · PM2.5 target: Apple Valley
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse48.7 µg/m³
346% above nearby days
Air movement3.56 kt
11% higher than surrounding days
PM1051 µg/m³
70% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.548.7 µg/m³
346% higher than surrounding days
Before6.31 µg/m³ Event48.7 µg/m³ After10.9 µg/m³
PM1051 µg/m³
70% higher than surrounding days
Before30 µg/m³ Event51 µg/m³ After23 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.471 ppm
51% higher than surrounding days
Before0.258 ppm Event0.471 ppm After0.362 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide6.28 ppb
32% higher than surrounding days
Before4.10 ppb Event6.28 ppb After4.76 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.369 ppb
52% lower than surrounding days
Before0.829 ppb Event0.369 ppb After0.375 ppb
Ozone0.033 ppm
14% lower than surrounding days
Before0.041 ppm Event0.033 ppm After0.033 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Wind3.56 kt
11% higher than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · May 13, 2024officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IF, Fire - Canadian.) on 240 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2024-05-13, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Minnesota Pollution Control Agency · May 12, 2024officialgovernment
MPCA's statewide alert, including the Twin Cities, states that heavy smoke from wildfires in northeast British Columbia moved into Minnesota and would sweep south through May 13.
Cited authorities: Minnesota Pollution Control Agency
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.