2023 November 15 Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson wildfire smoke episode
November 15, 2023 · Origin: Canada
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 50.7 µg/m³ near Indianapolis across
1 covered metro home to 2.2 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 1.7 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 3.7 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
Qualified supplied evidence supports wildfire smoke for the November 15 Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson event. No other supplied event was merged without evidence of the same coherent occurrence.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Nov 15, 2023official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IF, Fire - Canadian.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2023-11-15, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Nov 15, 2023official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 47 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2023-11-15, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IF, Fire - Canadian.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2023-11-15, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
50.7 µg/m³ near Indianapolis
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.3 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Monitor comparison window 2023-11-12 to 2023-11-18 · PM2.5 target: Indpls- W. 18th St./ Ernie Pyle School 90
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse18.5 µg/m³
55% above nearby days
Air movement1.93 kt
13% lower than surrounding days
PM1058 µg/m³
76% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.518.5 µg/m³
55% higher than surrounding days
Before11.9 µg/m³ Event18.5 µg/m³ After10.3 µg/m³
PM1058 µg/m³
76% higher than surrounding days
Before33 µg/m³ Event58 µg/m³ After27 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.772 ppm
48% higher than surrounding days
Before0.521 ppm Event0.772 ppm After0.474 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide24.4 ppb
35% higher than surrounding days
Before20.2 ppb Event24.4 ppb After13.6 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.900 ppb
59% higher than surrounding days
Before0.565 ppb Event0.900 ppb After0.196 ppb
Ozone0.014 ppm
16% lower than surrounding days
Before0.017 ppm Event0.014 ppm After0.021 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity25.6 °F
11% lower than surrounding days
Pressure996 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature49.1 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind1.93 kt
13% lower than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Nov 15, 2023officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IF, Fire - Canadian.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2023-11-15, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Nov 15, 2023officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 47 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2023-11-15, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.