Daily PM2.5 peaked at 42 µg/m³ near Urban Honolulu across
1 covered metro home to 998,747 people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 1.7 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 1.7 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Fireworks”
Qualified supplied evidence supports fireworks for the January 1 Urban Honolulu event. No other supplied event was merged without evidence of the same coherent occurrence.
DocumentedAn agency or publisher page assesses this cause, without an agency record naming the event or an EPA qualifier on the data.
A study using Hawaii Department of Health and EPA monitoring data found New Year hourly PM2.5 concentrations in Honolulu were higher than comparable hours on December 31 and January 2.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
A study using Hawaii Department of Health and EPA monitoring data found New Year hourly PM2.5 concentrations in Honolulu were higher than comparable hours on December 31 and January 2.
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
42 µg/m³ near Urban Honolulu
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 1.9 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Fireworks” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Urban Honolulu, HI
Monitor comparison window 2022-12-29 to 2023-01-04 · PM2.5 target: Sand Island
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse7.36 µg/m³
176% above nearby days
PM1017.5 µg/m³
59% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.57.36 µg/m³
176% higher than surrounding days
Before4.42 µg/m³ Event7.36 µg/m³ After2.10 µg/m³
PM1017.5 µg/m³
59% higher than surrounding days
Before13.5 µg/m³ Event17.5 µg/m³ After7 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.042 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.050 ppm Event0.042 ppm After0.033 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide5.80 ppb
21% lower than surrounding days
Before7.42 ppb Event5.80 ppb After7.31 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.554 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before1.07 ppb Event0.554 ppb After0.154 ppb
Ozone0.024 ppm
25% higher than surrounding days
Before0.014 ppm Event0.024 ppm After0.019 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Temperature53.9 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
A study using Hawaii Department of Health and EPA monitoring data found New Year hourly PM2.5 concentrations in Honolulu were higher than comparable hours on December 31 and January 2.
Status and provenance
DocumentedAn agency or publisher page assesses this cause, without an agency record naming the event or an EPA qualifier on the data.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.