2023-12-31 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL and Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL and Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL fireworks episode
December 31, 2023 to January 1, 2024
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 64 µg/m³ near Miami across
3 covered metros home to 10 million people.
3 metros placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 3.1 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 32 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Fireworks”
Qualified supplied evidence supports fireworks as the root cause of this event. The supplied record does not establish a coherent shared occurrence with neighboring candidates, so the episode remains event-specific.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Dec 31, 2023official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 4 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2023-12-31, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2024official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 30 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2024-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2024official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 52 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2024-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 4 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2023-12-31, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag,…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
64 µg/m³ near Miami
EPA monitors recorded the event across 3 metros.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.9 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Fireworks” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL
Monitor comparison window 2023-12-28 to 2024-01-04 · PM2.5 target: Wittkop Park
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse23.4 µg/m³
239% above nearby days
PM1032.5 µg/m³
124% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.523.4 µg/m³
239% higher than surrounding days
Before4.78 µg/m³ Event23.4 µg/m³ After6.97 µg/m³
PM1032.5 µg/m³
124% higher than surrounding days
Before11 µg/m³ Event32.5 µg/m³ After15 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.366 ppm
30% higher than surrounding days
Before0.258 ppm Event0.366 ppm After0.292 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide13.7 ppb
16% lower than surrounding days
Before15.8 ppb Event13.7 ppb After19.5 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.682 ppb
6% higher than surrounding days
Before0.599 ppb Event0.682 ppb After0.681 ppb
Ozone0.030 ppm
13% higher than surrounding days
Before0.019 ppm Event0.030 ppm After0.034 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity85.5 %
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature59.3 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Monitor comparison window 2023-12-28 to 2024-01-04 · PM2.5 target: Baptist Childrens' Home
4 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse30.3 µg/m³
323% above nearby days
PM1032.5 µg/m³
171% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.530.3 µg/m³
323% higher than surrounding days
Before7.32 µg/m³ Event30.3 µg/m³ After6.89 µg/m³
PM1032.5 µg/m³
171% higher than surrounding days
Before11 µg/m³ Event32.5 µg/m³ After10 µg/m³
Sulfur dioxide1.81 ppb
37% higher than surrounding days
Before0.705 ppb Event1.81 ppb After1.09 ppb
Ozone0.030 ppm
8% higher than surrounding days
Before0.021 ppm Event0.030 ppm After0.030 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Temperature54.7 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Monitor comparison window 2023-12-28 to 2024-01-04 · PM2.5 target: Sanford (Seminole Community College)
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse29.8 µg/m³
335% above nearby days
PM1037.3 µg/m³
239% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.529.8 µg/m³
335% higher than surrounding days
Before7.03 µg/m³ Event29.8 µg/m³ After6.04 µg/m³
PM1037.3 µg/m³
239% higher than surrounding days
Before10.5 µg/m³ Event37.3 µg/m³ After9.50 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.502 ppm
69% higher than surrounding days
Before0.304 ppm Event0.502 ppm After0.217 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide9.43 ppb
29% higher than surrounding days
Before6.54 ppb Event9.43 ppb After4.15 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.444 ppb
132% higher than surrounding days
Before0.229 ppb Event0.444 ppb After0.104 ppb
Ozone0.032 ppm
10% higher than surrounding days
Before0.024 ppm Event0.032 ppm After0.029 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Temperature55.6 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Dec 31, 2023officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 4 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2023-12-31, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2024officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 30 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2024-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2024officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 52 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2024-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Dec 31, 2023officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 13 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2023-12-31, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2024officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 9 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2024-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.