Dust Corroborated
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 23.8 µg/m³ near Palm Bay across 2 covered metros home to 1.5 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 1.1 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 1.6 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.
Why we think this happened
Supplied qualified evidence supports dust as the root cause. The grouping includes only events linked by explicit shared episode evidence; otherwise this remains a single-event episode.
Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.
FOX Weather · Aug 25, 2021 corroborates
The report explicitly documents Saharan dust across Florida on August 25, with an NWS Tampa Bay observation from August 24 and lower-atmosphere evidence from a Tampa weather balloon; it also notes that sufficiently low dust can degrade air quality.
See every retained source and limitation ↓
Sequence: Palm Bay (Aug 24) → Lakeland (Aug 25)
Evidence path
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.
Source or mechanism
The catalog has a grouping hypothesis, but no retained source directly establishes the proposed cause.
Air-mass movement
The report explicitly documents Saharan dust across Florida on August 25, with an NWS Tampa Bay observation from August 24 and lower-atmosphere evidence from a Tampa weather balloon; it also notes that sufficiently low dust can degrade air quality.
View transport source ↗Local response
EPA monitors recorded the event across 2 metros. The peak daily concentration is roughly 1.1 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓Event autopsy
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Dust” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Monitor comparison window 2021-08-21 to 2021-08-28 · PM2.5 target: Melbourne
115% above nearby days
138% higher than surrounding days
115% higher than surrounding days
138% higher than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Monitor comparison window 2021-08-21 to 2021-08-28 · PM2.5 target: Baptist Childrens' Home
108% above nearby days
149% higher than surrounding days
108% higher than surrounding days
149% higher than surrounding days
10% higher than surrounding days
17% higher than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Air-mass reconstruction
NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.
Air arriving near Lakeland-Winter Haven
Peak-date arrivals · 2021-08-25
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Air arriving near Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville
Peak-date arrivals · 2021-08-25
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Episode peak
-- cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Views from the selected metro
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
| Metro | Peak PM2.5 | Cigarettes, whole event | Peak day | All-time standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL | 23.8 µg/m³ | 2.1 | Aug 25, 2021 | #17 of its top days |
| Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL | 23.7 µg/m³ | 1.1 | Aug 25, 2021 | #24 of its top days |
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
Dust from Sahara Desert brings milky haze to Florida's skies
The report explicitly documents Saharan dust across Florida on August 25, with an NWS Tampa Bay observation from August 24 and lower-atmosphere evidence from a Tampa weather balloon; it also notes that sufficiently low dust can degrade air quality.
Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.