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Wildfire smoke Agency determination

2021-08-01 Colorado Springs wildfire-smoke episode

August 1, 2021 · Origin: Colorado Springs, CO

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 29 µg/m³ near Colorado Springs across 1 covered metro home to 777,634 people.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

Supplied qualified evidence supports wildfire-smoke as the root cause. The grouping includes only events linked by explicit shared episode evidence; otherwise this remains a single-event episode.

Agency determination A government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.

National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive · Aug 1, 2021 official

Air Quality Alert AQAPUB

An archived NWS Air Quality Alert for Colorado Springs, CO, issued 2021-08-01T15:10Z, explicitly identifies wildfire smoke. IEM is the archive, not the official system of record.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    An archived NWS Air Quality Alert for Colorado Springs, CO, issued 2021-08-01T15:10Z, explicitly identifies wildfire smoke. IEM is the archive, not the official system of record.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    29 µg/m³ near Colorado Springs

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 1.3 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Colorado Springs, CO

Monitor comparison window 2021-07-29 to 2021-08-04 · PM2.5 target: COLORADO SPRINGS - COLLEGE COLLEGE

4 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 29 µg/m³

206% above nearby days

Air movement 2.55 kt

26% lower than surrounding days

Carbon monoxide 0.423 ppm

30% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 29 µg/m³

206% higher than surrounding days

Before5.99 µg/m³ Event29 µg/m³ After13.1 µg/m³
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.423 ppm

30% higher than surrounding days

Before0.272 ppm Event0.423 ppm After0.332 ppm
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.417 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.574 ppb Event0.417 ppb After0.413 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.048 ppm

13% lower than surrounding days

Before0.060 ppm Event0.048 ppm After0.050 ppm
2 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 71.3 %

21% higher than surrounding days

Temperature 64.8 °F

6% lower than surrounding days

Wind 2.55 kt

26% lower than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Colorado Springs, CO 29 µg/m³ 1.3 Aug 1, 2021 #13 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

NWS Air Quality Alert 1

  • Air Quality Alert AQAPUB

    National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive · Colorado Department · Aug 1, 2021 official government

    An archived NWS Air Quality Alert for Colorado Springs, CO, issued 2021-08-01T15:10Z, explicitly identifies wildfire smoke. IEM is the archive, not the official system of record.

News discovery (GDELT) 1

gdelt-doc-api 6

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Agency determination A government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.