July 26, 2021 · Origin: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH; Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT; New Haven-Milford, CT; Providence-Warwick, RI-MA; Worcester, MA-CT
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 59 µg/m³ near Boston across
5 covered metros home to 9.4 million people.
3 metros placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 2.0 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 19 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
Supplied qualified evidence supports wildfire-smoke as the root cause. The grouping includes only events linked by explicit shared episode evidence; otherwise this remains a single-event episode.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 26, 2021official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 66 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2021-07-26, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 26, 2021official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 56 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2021-07-26, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Connecticut Department of Energy and Environmental Protection · Jul 27, 2021official
Connecticut DEEP reported that the western-wildfire smoke plume produced unhealthy PM2.5 across Connecticut on July 26, supporting wildfire-smoke attribution for this regional New England event.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 66 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2021-07-26, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
59 µg/m³ near Boston
EPA monitors recorded the event across 5 metros.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.7 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
Monitor comparison window 2021-07-23 to 2021-07-29 · PM2.5 target: ChelmsfordNR
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse48.1 µg/m³
459% above nearby days
Air movement2.81 kt
About the same as surrounding days
PM1065 µg/m³
306% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.548.1 µg/m³
459% higher than surrounding days
Before8.61 µg/m³ Event48.1 µg/m³ After8.49 µg/m³
PM1065 µg/m³
306% higher than surrounding days
Before16 µg/m³ Event65 µg/m³ After16 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.429 ppm
100% higher than surrounding days
Before0.199 ppm Event0.429 ppm After0.218 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide6.29 ppb
21% higher than surrounding days
Before4.92 ppb Event6.29 ppb After5.20 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.458 ppb
20% higher than surrounding days
Before0.372 ppb Event0.458 ppb After0.421 ppb
Ozone0.033 ppm
8% higher than surrounding days
Before0.027 ppm Event0.033 ppm After0.031 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity66.8 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure1005 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature77.2 °F
10% higher than surrounding days
Wind2.81 kt
About the same as surrounding days
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT
Monitor comparison window 2021-07-23 to 2021-07-29 · PM2.5 target: McAuliffe Park
Monitor comparison window 2021-07-23 to 2021-07-29 · PM2.5 target: Near Rd
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse41 µg/m³
325% above nearby days
Air movement2.88 kt
10% higher than surrounding days
Carbon monoxide0.657 ppm
74% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.541 µg/m³
325% higher than surrounding days
Before9.67 µg/m³ Event41 µg/m³ After8.87 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.657 ppm
74% higher than surrounding days
Before0.378 ppm Event0.657 ppm After0.329 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide3.26 ppb
About the same as surrounding days
Before3.35 ppb Event3.26 ppb After3.40 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.339 ppb
11% higher than surrounding days
Before0.306 ppb Event0.339 ppb After0.304 ppb
Ozone0.046 ppm
32% higher than surrounding days
Before0.035 ppm Event0.046 ppm After0.034 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity65.6 %
6% lower than surrounding days
Pressure1006 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature76.7 °F
9% higher than surrounding days
Wind2.88 kt
10% higher than surrounding days
Worcester, MA-CT
Monitor comparison window 2021-07-23 to 2021-07-29 · PM2.5 target: WORCESTER SUMMER STREET
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse45.3 µg/m³
320% above nearby days
Carbon monoxide0.517 ppm
64% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.545.3 µg/m³
320% higher than surrounding days
Before9.33 µg/m³ Event45.3 µg/m³ After10.8 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.517 ppm
64% higher than surrounding days
Before0.291 ppm Event0.517 ppm After0.372 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide7.67 ppb
12% higher than surrounding days
Before6.50 ppb Event7.67 ppb After7 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.133 ppb
18% higher than surrounding days
Before0.087 ppb Event0.133 ppb After0.113 ppb
Ozone0.041 ppm
20% higher than surrounding days
Before0.028 ppm Event0.041 ppm After0.034 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity74.3 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure989 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature74.3 °F
9% higher than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 26, 2021officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 66 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2021-07-26, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 26, 2021officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 56 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2021-07-26, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Connecticut Department of Energy and Environmental Protection · Jul 27, 2021officialgovernment
Connecticut DEEP reported that the western-wildfire smoke plume produced unhealthy PM2.5 across Connecticut on July 26, supporting wildfire-smoke attribution for this regional New England event.
What remains uncertain
An AQS informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not an EPA-concurred exclusion determination.
The supplied evidence resolves cause but does not establish identity with another candidate episode.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.