March 19, 2021 to March 20, 2021 · Origin: Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 55.7 µg/m³ near Denver across
1 covered metro home to 3.1 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 3.9 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 12 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Other”
Supplied qualified evidence supports other-cause as the root cause. The grouping includes only events linked by explicit shared episode evidence; otherwise this remains a single-event episode.
CorroboratedIndependent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.
The opened report cites CDPHE and attributes unhealthy fine-particle concentrations across the Denver-Boulder area to stagnant weather conditions. It supports stagnation as the accumulation mechanism but does not identify a primary emissions source or explicitly establish a temperature inversion.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
The opened report cites CDPHE and attributes unhealthy fine-particle concentrations across the Denver-Boulder area to stagnant weather conditions. It supports stagnation as the accumulation mechanism but does not identify a primary emissions source…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
55.7 µg/m³ near Denver
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.5 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Other” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
Monitor comparison window 2021-03-16 to 2021-03-23 · PM2.5 target: Birch Street
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse30.9 µg/m³
148% above nearby days
Air movement3.05 kt
8% lower than surrounding days
PM1074.3 µg/m³
291% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.530.9 µg/m³
148% higher than surrounding days
Before14.5 µg/m³ Event30.9 µg/m³ After8.84 µg/m³
PM1074.3 µg/m³
291% higher than surrounding days
Before29.5 µg/m³ Event74.3 µg/m³ After15 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.611 ppm
76% higher than surrounding days
Before0.384 ppm Event0.611 ppm After0.290 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide33.7 ppb
41% higher than surrounding days
Before28.1 ppb Event33.7 ppb After17 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.841 ppb
57% higher than surrounding days
Before0.352 ppb Event0.841 ppb After0.521 ppb
Ozone0.046 ppm
7% higher than surrounding days
Before0.043 ppm Event0.046 ppm After0.042 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity46.9 %
28% lower than surrounding days
Pressure817 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature46.8 °F
34% higher than surrounding days
Wind3.05 kt
8% lower than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
Denver7 · Stephanie Butzer · Mar 19, 2021corroborates
The opened report cites CDPHE and attributes unhealthy fine-particle concentrations across the Denver-Boulder area to stagnant weather conditions. It supports stagnation as the accumulation mechanism but does not identify a primary emissions source or explicitly establish a temperature inversion.
The supplied evidence resolves cause but does not establish identity with another candidate episode.
Status and provenance
CorroboratedIndependent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.