Wildfire smoke EPA monitor flag
Named source Glass Fire 67,484 acres , CA · IRWIN 2020-CALNU-015947
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 103.9 µg/m³ near San Francisco across 3 covered metros home to 7.5 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 6.2 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 46 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.
Why we think this happened
Supplied qualified evidence supports wildfire-smoke as the root cause. The grouping includes only events linked by explicit shared episode evidence; otherwise this remains a single-event episode.
EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Oct 3, 2020 official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 72 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-03, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Oct 2, 2020 official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-02, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Oct 2, 2020 official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 70 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-02, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
See every retained source and limitation ↓
Sequence: Stockton (Oct 1) → San Jose (Oct 1) → San Francisco (Oct 2)
Evidence path
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.
Source or mechanism
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 72 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-03, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…
View supporting source ↗Air-mass movement
NOAA HYSPLIT modeled 36 backward paths across multiple arrival times and heights. They show where the air traveled, not which source polluted it.
Explore the modeled paths ↓Local response
EPA monitors recorded the event across 3 metros. The peak daily concentration is roughly 4.7 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓Event autopsy
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
Monitor comparison window 2020-09-28 to 2020-10-06 · PM2.5 target: Gilroy
350% above nearby days
About the same as surrounding days
98% higher than surrounding days
350% higher than surrounding days
98% higher than surrounding days
95% higher than surrounding days
65% higher than surrounding days
29% higher than surrounding days
19% higher than surrounding days
18% lower than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
Stockton-Lodi, CA
Monitor comparison window 2020-09-28 to 2020-10-06 · PM2.5 target: Manteca
126% above nearby days
About the same as surrounding days
46% higher than surrounding days
126% higher than surrounding days
46% higher than surrounding days
100% higher than surrounding days
34% higher than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
17% higher than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA
Monitor comparison window 2020-09-28 to 2020-10-06 · PM2.5 target: Pleasanton - Owens Ct
179% above nearby days
63% higher than surrounding days
179% higher than surrounding days
63% higher than surrounding days
62% higher than surrounding days
8% higher than surrounding days
About the same as surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Air-mass reconstruction
NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.
Air arriving near San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward
Peak-date arrivals · 2020-10-02
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Air arriving near San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara
Peak-date arrivals · 2020-10-02
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Air arriving near Stockton-Lodi
Peak-date arrivals · 2020-10-03
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Episode peak
-- cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Views from the selected metro
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
| Metro | Peak PM2.5 | Cigarettes, whole event | Peak day | All-time standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA | 103.9 µg/m³ | 4.7 | Oct 2, 2020 | #13 of its top days |
| Stockton-Lodi, CA | 98.8 µg/m³ | 12.5 | Oct 3, 2020 | #15 of its top days |
| San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA | 79.7 µg/m³ | 9.8 | Oct 2, 2020 | #13 of its top days |
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 72 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-03, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-02, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 70 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-02, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-03, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 72 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-01, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-01, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
AQS PM2.5 qualifier IE — Demolition.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IE, Demolition.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2020-10-03, identifying demolition as affecting the sample. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.
Spare the Air Alert extended through Friday
Bay Area regulator extended its alert through October 2 because of wildfire smoke from the Glass Fire in Napa and Sonoma counties.
Spare the Air Alert due to wildfire smoke from fires in northern California
Subsequent agency release confirms persistent early-October northern California wildfire-smoke impacts, but is not a direct assessment of October 3 Stockton conditions.
EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.