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Mixed causes EPA monitor flag

2020-09-07 Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise mixed-cause episode

September 7, 2020 · Origin: Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 49.8 µg/m³ near Las Vegas across 1 covered metro home to 2.4 million people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 1.9 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 4.5 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Mixed causes”

Supplied qualified evidence supports multiple material causes for this event: wildfire-smoke and dust.

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 7, 2020 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 432 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-09-07, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Mixed causes

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 432 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-09-07, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    Transport into the affected region is documented

    Contemporaneous report says Clark County issued a September 7 advisory for elevated smoke and ozone from California wildfire smoke entering central and southern Nevada.

    View transport source ↗
    Documented
  3. 3

    Local response

    49.8 µg/m³ near Las Vegas

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.3 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Mixed causes” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV

Monitor comparison window 2020-09-04 to 2020-09-10 · PM2.5 target: Jerome Mack-NCore

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 43.1 µg/m³

529% above nearby days

Air movement 4.79 kt

66% higher than surrounding days

PM10 77 µg/m³

196% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 43.1 µg/m³

529% higher than surrounding days

Before6.85 µg/m³ Event43.1 µg/m³ After6.67 µg/m³
9 monitors · 1 HOUR
PM10 77 µg/m³

196% higher than surrounding days

Before26 µg/m³ Event77 µg/m³ After23 µg/m³
9 monitors · 24-HR BLK AVG
Carbon monoxide 0.311 ppm

19% higher than surrounding days

Before0.425 ppm Event0.311 ppm After0.211 ppm
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 13.2 ppb

9% lower than surrounding days

Before22.4 ppb Event13.2 ppb After7.77 ppb
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.450 ppb

15% higher than surrounding days

Before0.650 ppb Event0.450 ppb After0.275 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.042 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.043 ppm Event0.042 ppm After0.033 ppm
11 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 5.92 %

47% lower than surrounding days

Pressure 943 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 95.3 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 4.79 kt

66% higher than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV 49.8 µg/m³ 2.3 Sep 7, 2020 #10 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 1

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 7, 2020 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 432 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2020-09-07, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

Agency and publisher pages 2

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.