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Wildfire smoke Corroborated

2020-09-06 2-area wildfire-smoke episode

September 6, 2020 to September 7, 2020 · Origin: Colorado Springs, CO; Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO

Named source Cameron Peak Fire 208,913 acres , CO · IRWIN 2020-COARF-000636

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 49.7 µg/m³ near Denver across 2 covered metros home to 3.8 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 1.7 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 6.5 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

Supplied qualified evidence supports wildfire-smoke as the root cause. The grouping includes only events linked by explicit shared episode evidence; otherwise this remains a single-event episode.

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Sequence: Denver (Sep 6) → Colorado Springs (Sep 7)

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    Contemporaneous reporting states that Cameron Peak Fire smoke affected Front Range air quality; it reports a state particulate action day and degraded Denver conditions.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    Transport into the affected region is documented

    Coverage reports the Cameron Peak Fire smoke plume being carried into the Denver metro area from September 6-7.

    View transport source ↗
    Documented
  3. 3

    Local response

    49.7 µg/m³ near Denver

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 2 metros. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.3 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO

Monitor comparison window 2020-09-03 to 2020-09-10 · PM2.5 target: La Casa

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 35 µg/m³

232% above nearby days

Air movement 4.89 kt

37% higher than surrounding days

PM10 74.5 µg/m³

75% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 35 µg/m³

232% higher than surrounding days

Before11 µg/m³ Event35 µg/m³ After5.83 µg/m³
7 monitors · 1 HOUR
PM10 74.5 µg/m³

75% higher than surrounding days

Before64 µg/m³ Event74.5 µg/m³ After8 µg/m³
4 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.335 ppm

24% higher than surrounding days

Before0.300 ppm Event0.335 ppm After0.187 ppm
4 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 11 ppb

7% lower than surrounding days

Before12.4 ppb Event11 ppb After10.7 ppb
6 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.677 ppb

42% higher than surrounding days

Before0.512 ppb Event0.677 ppb After0.139 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.044 ppm

6% higher than surrounding days

Before0.045 ppm Event0.044 ppm After0.019 ppm
12 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 24.9 %

21% lower than surrounding days

Pressure 819 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 74.9 °F

7% higher than surrounding days

Wind 4.89 kt

37% higher than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Air-mass reconstruction

Where the air had been

NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.

Transport context · not source attribution

Air arriving near Colorado Springs

Peak-date arrivals · 2020-09-07

Broad history Mostly northwest of the metro
72-hour reach 350–1,600 km
Sensitivity runs 12 modeled paths
Arrival metro
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m

Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions. A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 49.7 µg/m³ 2.3 Sep 6, 2020 #17 of its top days
Colorado Springs, CO 27.7 µg/m³ 1.3 Sep 7, 2020 #17 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

Agency and publisher pages 2

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.