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Mixed causes

2020-01-01 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale mixed-cause episode

January 1, 2020 · Origin: Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 149.1 µg/m³ near Phoenix across 1 covered metro home to 5.2 million people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 6.2 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 32 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

What happened, in the record

The supplied local and ADEQ evidence supports a mixed New Year's episode involving residential fireplace and fire-pit smoke together with fireworks.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 149.1 µg/m³ 6.8 Jan 1, 2020 #3 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

The evidence

Agency and publisher pages 2

  • Appendix C Arizona Department of Environmental Quality, Jan 1, 2024 · official ADEQ's retrospective assessment identifies the West Phoenix 149.1 µg/m3 PM2.5 value on January 1, 2020 and describes New Year's Eve/Day conditions, including a midnight fireworks peak and persistent high concentrations into the morning.
  • Hikers unfazed by poor air quality on New Year's Day FOX 10 Phoenix, Jan 1, 2020 · corroborates Contemporaneous local reporting attributed poor Valley air to smoke from fireplaces and fire pits mixed with New Year's fireworks.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Research preview: this record carries research-only status and its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence review completes. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula.