← Air events

Winter inversion Corroborated

2019 early-March Denver metro inversion episode

March 6, 2019 to March 7, 2019 · Origin: Denver metropolitan area, Colorado

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 58.6 µg/m³ near Denver across 2 covered metros home to 3.8 million people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.0 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 7.8 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Winter inversion”

State-agency meteorological attribution reported by Colorado Public Radio identifies a strong inversion that trapped local emissions in the Denver metro area; a National Park Service evaluation independently documents elevated PM2.5 during the same early-March period.

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

Colorado Public Radio · Mar 6, 2019 corroborates

Blame The Cold For Denver’s Smog This Week

Colorado Public Radio reported a Colorado Air Pollution Control Division meteorologist’s assessment that a strong inversion trapped local emissions near the surface, producing high fine-particle levels in the Denver metro area.

U.S. National Park Service corroborates

A Low-cost Air Quality Sensor for Measuring Particulate Matter

A National Park Service evaluation using the state-operated Denver I-25 reference monitor documents elevated PM2.5 for approximately three days in the first week of March 2019, including a 77 µg/m³ reference-monitor concentration on March 7.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Sequence: Denver (Mar 6) → Colorado Springs (Mar 7)

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Winter inversion

    Colorado Public Radio reported a Colorado Air Pollution Control Division meteorologist’s assessment that a strong inversion trapped local emissions near the surface, producing high fine-particle levels in the Denver metro area.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    58.6 µg/m³ near Denver

    A National Park Service evaluation using the state-operated Denver I-25 reference monitor documents elevated PM2.5 for approximately three days in the first week of March 2019, including a 77 µg/m³ reference-monitor concentration on March 7.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Winter inversion” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO

Monitor comparison window 2019-03-03 to 2019-03-10 · PM2.5 target: La Casa

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 38.3 µg/m³

105% above nearby days

Air movement 3.16 kt

9% lower than surrounding days

PM10 54.5 µg/m³

58% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 38.3 µg/m³

105% higher than surrounding days

Before20.3 µg/m³ Event38.3 µg/m³ After7.07 µg/m³
7 monitors · 1 HOUR
PM10 54.5 µg/m³

58% higher than surrounding days

Before35 µg/m³ Event54.5 µg/m³ After17 µg/m³
4 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.557 ppm

15% higher than surrounding days

Before0.468 ppm Event0.557 ppm After0.318 ppm
4 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 34.5 ppb

27% higher than surrounding days

Before40.4 ppb Event34.5 ppb After20.7 ppb
6 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 1.15 ppb

70% higher than surrounding days

Before0.412 ppb Event1.15 ppb After0.497 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.037 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.032 ppm Event0.037 ppm After0.039 ppm
12 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 69.3 %

About the same as surrounding days

Pressure 812 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 33.7 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 3.16 kt

9% lower than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 58.6 µg/m³ 2.7 Mar 6, 2019 #8 of its top days
Colorado Springs, CO 28.4 µg/m³ 1.3 Mar 7, 2019 #15 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

Agency and publisher pages 2

  • A Low-cost Air Quality Sensor for Measuring Particulate Matter

    U.S. National Park Service corroborates government

    A National Park Service evaluation using the state-operated Denver I-25 reference monitor documents elevated PM2.5 for approximately three days in the first week of March 2019, including a 77 µg/m³ reference-monitor concentration on March 7.

  • Blame The Cold For Denver’s Smog This Week

    Colorado Public Radio · Hayley Sanchez · Mar 6, 2019 corroborates

    Colorado Public Radio reported a Colorado Air Pollution Control Division meteorologist’s assessment that a strong inversion trapped local emissions near the surface, producing high fine-particle levels in the Denver metro area.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.