March 6, 2019 to March 7, 2019 · Origin: Denver metropolitan area, Colorado
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 58.6 µg/m³ near Denver across
2 covered metros home to 3.8 million people.
1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 2.0 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 7.8 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Winter inversion”
State-agency meteorological attribution reported by Colorado Public Radio identifies a strong inversion that trapped local emissions in the Denver metro area; a National Park Service evaluation independently documents elevated PM2.5 during the same early-March period.
CorroboratedIndependent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.
Colorado Public Radio reported a Colorado Air Pollution Control Division meteorologist’s assessment that a strong inversion trapped local emissions near the surface, producing high fine-particle levels in the Denver metro area.
A National Park Service evaluation using the state-operated Denver I-25 reference monitor documents elevated PM2.5 for approximately three days in the first week of March 2019, including a 77 µg/m³ reference-monitor concentration on March 7.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
Colorado Public Radio reported a Colorado Air Pollution Control Division meteorologist’s assessment that a strong inversion trapped local emissions near the surface, producing high fine-particle levels in the Denver metro area.
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
58.6 µg/m³ near Denver
A National Park Service evaluation using the state-operated Denver I-25 reference monitor documents elevated PM2.5 for approximately three days in the first week of March 2019, including a 77 µg/m³ reference-monitor concentration on March 7.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Winter inversion” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
Monitor comparison window 2019-03-03 to 2019-03-10 · PM2.5 target: La Casa
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse38.3 µg/m³
105% above nearby days
Air movement3.16 kt
9% lower than surrounding days
PM1054.5 µg/m³
58% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.538.3 µg/m³
105% higher than surrounding days
Before20.3 µg/m³ Event38.3 µg/m³ After7.07 µg/m³
PM1054.5 µg/m³
58% higher than surrounding days
Before35 µg/m³ Event54.5 µg/m³ After17 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.557 ppm
15% higher than surrounding days
Before0.468 ppm Event0.557 ppm After0.318 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide34.5 ppb
27% higher than surrounding days
Before40.4 ppb Event34.5 ppb After20.7 ppb
Sulfur dioxide1.15 ppb
70% higher than surrounding days
Before0.412 ppb Event1.15 ppb After0.497 ppb
Ozone0.037 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.032 ppm Event0.037 ppm After0.039 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity69.3 %
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure812 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature33.7 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind3.16 kt
9% lower than surrounding days
Colorado Springs, CO
Monitor comparison window 2019-03-03 to 2019-03-10 · PM2.5 target: COLORADO SPRINGS - COLLEGE COLLEGE
4 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse21.6 µg/m³
135% above nearby days
Air movement2.80 kt
34% lower than surrounding days
Carbon monoxide0.457 ppm
26% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.521.6 µg/m³
135% higher than surrounding days
Before9.92 µg/m³ Event21.6 µg/m³ After3.38 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.457 ppm
26% higher than surrounding days
Before0.346 ppm Event0.457 ppm After0.253 ppm
Sulfur dioxide0.967 ppb
17% higher than surrounding days
Before0.378 ppb Event0.967 ppb After0.874 ppb
Ozone0.035 ppm
15% lower than surrounding days
Before0.041 ppm Event0.035 ppm After0.045 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity63.9 %
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature37.8 °F
7% higher than surrounding days
Wind2.80 kt
34% lower than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
A National Park Service evaluation using the state-operated Denver I-25 reference monitor documents elevated PM2.5 for approximately three days in the first week of March 2019, including a 77 µg/m³ reference-monitor concentration on March 7.
Colorado Public Radio · Hayley Sanchez · Mar 6, 2019corroborates
Colorado Public Radio reported a Colorado Air Pollution Control Division meteorologist’s assessment that a strong inversion trapped local emissions near the surface, producing high fine-particle levels in the Denver metro area.
What remains uncertain
No named emissions source is supplied.
Status and provenance
CorroboratedIndependent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.