2012-04-09 through 2012-04-11 wildfire-smoke episode affecting Jacksonville, FL
April 9, 2012 to April 11, 2012 · Origin: Northern Florida
Named sourceCounty Line Fire 34,936 acres , FL · ICS-209-PLUS FL-FNF-012017
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 82.8 µg/m³ near Jacksonville across
1 covered metro home to 1.8 million people.
1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 6.4 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 11 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
The supplied official assessment attributes unhealthy particulate matter around Jacksonville during April 9-11 to County Line Fire smoke, with incident meteorology corroborating dense smoke during the period.
DocumentedAn agency or publisher page assesses this cause, without an agency record naming the event or an EPA qualifier on the data.
NASA reports that smoke from the County Line Fire elevated particulate matter around and south of Jacksonville to unhealthy levels; the fire had burned about 25,000 acres by April 11.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
NASA reports that smoke from the County Line Fire elevated particulate matter around and south of Jacksonville to unhealthy levels; the fire had burned about 25,000 acres by April 11.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Jacksonville, FL
Monitor comparison window 2012-04-06 to 2012-04-14 · PM2.5 target: Mandarin
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse37.8 µg/m³
404% above nearby days
PM1052 µg/m³
121% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.537.8 µg/m³
404% higher than surrounding days
Before6.50 µg/m³ Event37.8 µg/m³ After6.90 µg/m³
PM1052 µg/m³
121% higher than surrounding days
Before18.5 µg/m³ Event52 µg/m³ After23.5 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.539 ppm
94% higher than surrounding days
Before-0.025 ppm Event0.539 ppm After0.278 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide9.58 ppb
19% higher than surrounding days
Before6.38 ppb Event9.58 ppb After5.38 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.682 ppb
25% higher than surrounding days
Before0.417 ppb Event0.682 ppb After0.250 ppb
Ozone0.045 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.040 ppm Event0.045 ppm After0.045 ppm
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
NASA Earth Observatory · Adam Voiland · Apr 11, 2012officialgovernment
NASA reports that smoke from the County Line Fire elevated particulate matter around and south of Jacksonville to unhealthy levels; the fire had burned about 25,000 acres by April 11.
U.S. Forest Service · Apr 11, 2012corroboratesgovernment
The incident meteorologist forecast documented dense smoke and fog near the County Line Fire during the period of the Jacksonville air-quality event.
Status and provenance
DocumentedAn agency or publisher page assesses this cause, without an agency record naming the event or an EPA qualifier on the data.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.