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Wildfire smoke Agency determination

2011-08-19 wildfire-smoke episode affecting Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC

August 19, 2011 · Origin: Great Dismal Swamp, Virginia and North Carolina

Named source Great Dismal Swamp wildfire

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 52.9 µg/m³ near Virginia Beach across 1 covered metro home to 1.8 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.0 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 3.7 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

The Virginia DEQ alert and supporting frozen records attribute the August 19 Hampton Roads fine-particle episode to smoke from the Great Dismal Swamp wildfire.

Agency determination A government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Aug 19, 2011 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 3 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2011-08-19, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

Virginia Department of Environmental Quality / National Weather Service Wakefield · Aug 18, 2011 official

Air Quality Alert

The archived Virginia DEQ alert, issued August 18 and effective through August 19, attributed a Code Orange fine-particle alert in the Hampton Roads region to smoke from the Great Dismal Swamp wildfire.

National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive · Aug 19, 2011 corroborates

Air Quality Alert AQAAKQ

An archived NWS Air Quality Alert for Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC, issued 2011-08-19T21:13Z, explicitly identifies wildfire smoke. IEM is the archive, not the official system of record.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 3 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2011-08-19, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    52.9 µg/m³ near Virginia Beach

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.4 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC

Monitor comparison window 2011-08-16 to 2011-08-22 · PM2.5 target: NASA Langley Research Center

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 42.5 µg/m³

297% above nearby days

PM10 58 µg/m³

No adjacent-day comparison

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 42.5 µg/m³

297% higher than surrounding days

Before6.20 µg/m³ Event42.5 µg/m³ After10.7 µg/m³
3 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 58 µg/m³

No adjacent-day comparison

Before Event58 µg/m³ After
2 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.626 ppm

122% higher than surrounding days

Before0.282 ppm Event0.626 ppm After0.269 ppm
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 6.13 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before8.41 ppb Event6.13 ppb After5.62 ppb
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.965 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before1.76 ppb Event0.965 ppb After0.877 ppb
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.035 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.035 ppm Event0.035 ppm After0.035 ppm
3 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 52.9 µg/m³ 2.4 Aug 19, 2011 #11 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 1

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Aug 19, 2011 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 3 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2011-08-19, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

NWS Air Quality Alert 1

  • Air Quality Alert AQAAKQ

    National Weather Service via Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive · Aug 19, 2011 corroborates government

    An archived NWS Air Quality Alert for Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC, issued 2011-08-19T21:13Z, explicitly identifies wildfire smoke. IEM is the archive, not the official system of record.

Agency and publisher pages 1

  • Air Quality Alert

    Virginia Department of Environmental Quality / National Weather Service Wakefield · Aug 18, 2011 official government

    The archived Virginia DEQ alert, issued August 18 and effective through August 19, attributed a Code Orange fine-particle alert in the Hampton Roads region to smoke from the Great Dismal Swamp wildfire.

Cited authorities: Virginia Department of Environmental Quality

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Agency determination A government body issued a record naming this cause for this event: an NWS air-quality alert, a NOAA Storm Events record, or a state or local official archive.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.